Promoguy’s Vegas Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 10
Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Christian Kirk.
We debuted Vegas-style fantasy football rankings prior to this NFL season.
We used season-long prop lines for each player to project fantasy points, using the wisdom-of-the-crowds approach embedded in betting markets to find players undervalued and overvalued by fantasy experts.
For example: if a receiver was listed at 6 catches, 60 yards and 0.5 TDs in the prop market, he’d be projected for 15 points in full PPR, and 9 points in standard formats.
We’ll be doing the same on a game-by-game basis, using props from that week’s games to create fantasy rankings. While you’ll be starting most of the players listed anyway, these rankings can be a good way to find DFS value or make tough lineup decisions early in the season.
Here’s how things shook out for quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers for Week 10 in all formats, with some notes below.
Note: No props are listed for the Cardinals with Kyler Murray’s status unclear.
- No Josh Allen props are posted given his injury situation, so he’s not ranked.
- Justin Fields is all the way up to QB3 with his rushing upside, and Trevor Lawrence is at QB4 in a game that could be a shootout against the Chiefs.
- Aaron Rodgers is all the way down at QB19, ahead of only two other ranked QBs.
- Justin Herbert and Russell Wilson are both outside the top 12 behind Jacoby Brissett, Kenny Pickett and Daniel Jones.
- Chrisitan McCaffrey is the clear No. 1 RB in all formats.
- Austin Ekeler is a bit low given his receiving upside, even in PPR formats, but he has a low yardage projection against the 49ers.
- Jonathan Taylor is a fringe top 10 running back after missing last week with an injury.
- Kenneth Walker and Travis Etienne are a bit lower than they were last week, as both have somewhat tough matchups.
- Dolphins RBs Jeff Wilson and Raheem Mostert are ranked almost identically, setting up what should be an even split in the Miami backfield.
- Kareem Hunt, Khalil Herbert and Rachaad White are all in the top 30, as the prop market projects them for a decent amount of work even as the second option in their backfields.
- Despite a slow last few weeks by his standards, Amon-Ra St. Brown is No. 3 in all formats. AJ Brown comes in at No. 4, one of his highest rankings of the season.
- Christian Kirk once again cracks the top 10, which dovetails with Lawrence’s projected output against the Chiefs.
- Chargers WR Joshua Palmer is all the way up at WR15 in PPR, ahead of guys like Deebo Samuel and Michael Pittman.
- Travis Kelce is the clear No. 1, but there’s a surprising No. 2 in PPR — Broncos TE Greg Dulcich.
- Dallas Goedert, after a blowup game last week, is down at TE7 in PPR.