NFL Props

NFL Expert Prop Bets

NE
2-0
DEN
1-0
36 picks
8:00 PM
CBS
LA
2-0
SEA
1-0
28 picks
11:30 PM
FOX
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 18-17-0 (-2.0u)
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12
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 40-28-0 (+3.7u)
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 40-28-0 (+3.7u)
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 34-22-1 (+5.8u)
Chaisson has cleared this in both playoff games so far, largely because he’s racked up sacks. He had one last week and two against the Chargers in the Wild Card round. However, the Broncos have been the 4th toughest matchup for edge rushers, largely due to Bo Nix being one of the hardest QBs to take down. Denver has allowed the 3rd lowest pressure rate, which is mostly an offensive line stat, as they have one of the better OLs in the league. On top of that, Nix posted the 2nd lowest pressure-to-sack rate on the season, which is much more of a QB-driven metric. Jarrett Stidham is more likely to be around league average in that area, with a career pressure-to-sack rate of 19.6%. My tackle and sack model does factor in that increase in expected sack rate against Stidham compared to Nix, but I’m still expecting this OL to make it difficult to generate consistent pressure. As a result, I’m only projecting Chaisson with around a 40% chance to record a sack here. That’s critical at this number, because he’s only cleared 2.5 tackles in 3 of the 9 games where he failed to get a sack. Even when he does get a sack, it hasn’t guaranteed he clears this number. He’s still stayed under 2.5 in 5 of the 9 games where he recorded a sack. In the two games where he had multiple sacks, he finished with exactly 3 tackles in each. If he had only one sack in those games, he would have stayed under. That really highlights how often Chaisson sits under this number, even in strong sack performances. The reason is simple. He isn’t very involved in run defense, as he’s only mixed in on 7% of run plays with a tackle. That gives him roughly 1.3 projected run tackles. Even if I give him a full sack in the projection, he still comes in under 2.5. He has mixed in on six tackles on receptions all season, but even factoring in the small chance he gets one here, that can easily be offset by him failing to record a sack. All of this leads my tackle model to give Chaisson around a 60% chance to stay under 2.5, and I’m surprised we’re getting this at +119.
68
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 34-22-1 (+5.8u)
Running this back after it lost by 0.5 last week, with the final dagger being the 32-yard catch by Boutte against Derek Stingley in coverage on a great throw by Maye. The same logic remains from last week. While I do expect the Maye–Boutte connection to continue operating above a league-average catch rate on downfield passes, he’s still due for at least some regression after posting a league-high +21% catch rate over expected, according to NextGenStats. There’s also a decent chance he lines up across from shutdown corner Pat Surtain II, and the two have exchanged some public comments that at least qualify as mild bulletin-board material. Even if it stays tame, that matchup alone could make it tougher for Boutte to draw targets. On top of that, Mack Hollins has a decent chance to return this week. His return shouldn’t impact Boutte’s playing time much, but it could siphon off some of the downfield targets Boutte has seen at a higher rate since Hollins went down. Diggs and Henry are also coming off down games, and I’m projecting both to see an uptick in target rate this week, which makes it tougher for Boutte to draw 5 targets again like he did last week. I’m still not interested in fading his yardage prop. When he does haul in passes, he makes them count. But I have him projected closer to 2.2 receptions, with around a 62% chance to stay under 2.5.
85
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+6.0u)
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 3-4-0 (+0.5u)
Denver plays a ton of man coverage (4th Most) which Maye has been elite against. Drake Maye vs Man: 📈 YPA: 8.83 —> 9.63 📈 Passer Rating: 111.4 —> 133.2 (leads NFL) 📈 Deep Throw%: 12.8% —> 14.8% He’s cleared this number in 10/L14 games & in 6/8 on the road. In games Kayshon Boutte is healthy he’s hit this in 9/L11. The media asked if he’s thrown in altitude before & he made this comment: “It’ll be pretty cool, get a few extra yards on a deep ball…can always use that.” He also said this when asked about if anything changes on being aggressive downfield going against an elite pass rush: “No I don’t think so…taking care of the football is the number 1 thing, so if we have time and have a look downfield, you know me, I’m going to take a look and take a shot.” DEN is a great defense but are more prone to deep balls, allowing the 2nd highest deep throw rate on the season (13.6%).
3
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 20-57-1 (-0.8u)
PRO
NFL Prop Projections
PlayerPickPROOddsEdge
P.Bryant Image
Denver Broncos Logo
Recs
8:00 pm
NE @ DEN
Under
Recs
2.20
u3.5-139
23.8%
P.Nacua Image
Los Angeles Rams Logo
Rush Att
11:30 pm
LA @ SEA
Rush Att
J.Stidham Image
Denver Broncos Logo
Pass Comp
8:00 pm
NE @ DEN
Pass Comp

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NFL Player Prop Categories

What is an NFL Prop?

Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, are wagers that are placed on side outcomes that do not necessarily directly affect the outcome of the game. Some examples of NFL Prop bets are a player’s over/under in rushing yards for a given game or season or an over/under on how much a team will score in a game.

Most Common NFL Player Props

At some of the best sportsbooks (check out our FanDuel Promo Code, DraftKings Promo Code, and theScore Bet Promo Code) bettors will not have a shortage of NFL prop bets to choose from for the 2025-2026 NFL season.

Some of the most common NFL player prop markets that you can wager on for season-long outcomes and week-to-week throughout the season include anytime touchdown propspassing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, first touchdown scorer, touchdown passes, and receptions.

What to Consider Before Placing NFL Prop Bets

Before diving into the best NFL prop bets, you must set aside an appropriate bankroll and, ultimately, bet well within your means and responsibly.

Next, you want to make sure you do plenty of research. There is so much content, information, and analytic insight that you can dive into regarding specific matchups and trends that can help make you a winning bettor.

And finally, make sure to have fun! As long as you are betting within your means, betting on NFL player props should be for entertainment purposes first and foremost.

Want More?

Aside from our NFL prop bets hub, we have plenty of resources available to you, such as NFL Odds, NFL Futures, NFL Picks, and NFL ATS Standings

How Our Tools Work

At Action Network Pro, users can create sports betting edges using our tool. Just toggle the “All Props” drop-down menu, and you’ll find a list of +EV (plus expected value) NFL player props using our tool.

As a sports bettor, the objective is to create a positive expected value, a probability gap between a bettor’s line and a sportsbook. For example, our Action Pros may set a line of -180 versus a price of -110, commonly found at major online sportsbooks. This would create a 22.74% edge!

At Action Pro, using our tool, we’ll designate the best price depending on whichever player prop menu you want to use, and we’ll compare that price versus our own to see if there is any edge you can take advantage of!

NFL Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet NFL player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook will offer NFL player props, though some have more than others.
What kind of NFL props do sportsbooks offer?
NFL props have become a massive part of the betting handle in the last few years as legal sportsbooks try to out-innovate each other. Here are some other props offered: Player to score a touchdown Player to score the first TD Over/under receiving yards, passing yards, etc. Longest completion over/under a pre-deteremined amount Player to score 2+ touchdowns
Are NFL props a good bet?
It depends on the bet, of course. But NFL player props are often a more exploitable market than sides and totals, which have higher limits and are more efficient.