Promoguy’s Vegas Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 12
Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images. Pictured: Keenan Allen.
We debuted Vegas-style fantasy football rankings prior to this NFL season.
We used season-long prop lines for each player to project fantasy points, using the wisdom-of-the-crowds approach embedded in betting markets to find players undervalued and overvalued by fantasy experts.
For example: if a receiver was listed at 6 catches, 60 yards and 0.5 TDs in the prop market, he’d be projected for 15 points in full PPR, and 9 points in standard formats.
We’ll be doing the same on a game-by-game basis, using props from that week’s games to create fantasy rankings. While you’ll be starting most of the players listed anyway, these rankings can be a good way to find DFS value or make tough lineup decisions early in the season.
Here’s how things shook out for quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers for Week 12 in all formats, with some notes below.
- With some of the better fantasy quarterbacks playing Thursday, Tom Brady has clawed his way back into the top 10. But Aaron Rodgers is still well outside the QB1 range at No. 20.
- A few teams will roll out new starters this week — the Panthers (Sam Darnold), Bears (Trevor Siemian) and Texans (Kyle Allen). They occupy three of the last four spots. Jets QB Mike White is up at No. 17, ahead of guys like Rodgers and Matt Ryan.
- With no Raheem Mostert, Dolphins RB Jeff Wilson as the No. 2 running back in standard and half-PPR formats. He’s only No. 9 in ESPN’s consensus ranks.
- Bucs RB Rachaad White also cracks the top 10 with Leonard Fournette banged up.
- Despite their roles solidifying last week, Najee Harris, Aaron Jones and James Conner are still outside the top 10.
- Isiah Pacheco is inside the top 20 with Clyde Edwards-Helaire out for the Chiefs this week.
- Both Dolphins receivers, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, are inside the top 5 in a juicy matchup against the Texans.
- Keenan Allen is all the way up at No. 7 after missing much of the season with a hamstring injury before playing well last week. Juju Smith-Schuster is picking up where he left off before his concussion, slotting in as a fringe WR1.
- Both Seahawks star receivers, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, crack the top 12.
- Despite breakout games the last few weeks, Packers WR Christian Watson and Titans WR Treylon Burks are still outside WR2 range.
- The top of the tight end rankings look like you’d expect — Kelce, Andrews, Kittle.
- Pat Freiermuth and Greg Dulcich are next as they continue to see strong target shares, at least relative to other tight ends.