Updated U.S. Open 2022 Odds, Field: Rory McIlroy Favored After Win Over Justin Thomas

U.S. Open 2022 Odds

Odds via PointsBet as of Monday at 1 p.m. ET.

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After a stellar showing at the RBC Canadian Open and holding off Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy entered U.S. Open week as the betting favorite.

On Sunday night, McIlroy was 12-1 at BetMGM and PointsBet, followed by Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Thomas. PLAYERS Championship winner Cameron Smith was the only other player at 20-1 or lower at BetMGM, and he's joined at 20-1 by Xander Schauffele at PointsBet.

McIlroy was in the top 10 at both the Masters and PGA Championship, and entered the RBC Canadian Open with three top-10s in his previous four stops. He added to that stellar record with a win in Ontario, defending his title at the tournament.

Rahm enters the week with three top-10 finishes in his last five starts, including a win at last month’s Mexico Open. His next start was a T48 at the PGA Championship, which Thomas came out of nowhere to win at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa.

Scheffler’s impressive record as a professional in major championships took a hit when he missed the cut at the PGA Championship. Still, he has finished in the top 20 in seven of eight major-championship starts as a professional, including a T7 last year at Torrey Pines, where Rahm won his first major.

Thomas has been red hot this year, with seven top-10s in 12 starts entering the RBC Canadian Open, and he made it eight out of 13 with his third-place finish. The two-time PGA Championship winner has gone T8 and T19 in his last two U.S. Open starts.

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Course Preview

The Country Club hasn’t hosted a major since 1988, when Curtis Strange beat Nick Faldo in a playoff to win the U.S. Open. It did host the 1999 Ryder Cup, which Justin Leonard famously won for the United States, and the 2013 U.S. Amateur, which was won by Matt Fitzpatrick.

Unlike past U.S. Opens, The Country Club is not going to be a test that involves overwhelming length.

Last year, the South Course at Torrey Pines measured just shy of 7,700 yards. Players will face a different test this week with a par-70 track in Brookline.

The Country Club measures 7,264 yards, which sounds much lighter, but it will present the typical challenges that comes with a U.S. Open. The rough will be penalizing and the greens will be small and lightning fast. Distance will not play a huge role this week, but players will have to make sure they're precise off the tee. If not, they will be punished.

Three of the first four holes are par 4s that play at least 490 yards, but players will then hit a 310-yard par 4 on No. 5. Hole Nos. 8 and 15 will be the par 5s this week. The final two holes are reasonably distanced par 4s that are both doglegs to the left.

Past Winners

Last year, Jon Rahm started the final round three strokes behind the leaders but delivered a three-under round that won him his first major at Torrey Pines. The year before that, Bryson DeChambeau dominated at Winged Foot en route to a six-stroke victory.

Gary Woodland won at Pebble Beach in 2019 at 13-under par, and it was Brooks Koepka going back-to-back the two years before that, including a 16-under win at Erin Hills in 2017.

While scoring might reach double digits, it’s a rare occurrence at the U.S. Open. Since the turn of the century, the winning score has been double digits under par just four times: Tiger Woods in 2000 at Pebble Beach (12-under for a 15-stroke win), McIlroy in ’11 at Congressional (16-under for an eight-stroke win), Koepka in ’17 (four-stroke win) and Woodland (three-stroke win).

For those of you who really like to see the world’s best suffer, the winning score has been over par five times in the last 16 years. Both Rahm and DeChambeau won at 6-under in the past two U.S. Opens.

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