2018 British Open: The Case for Fading Daniel Berger

Jul 12, 2018 10:10 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Daniel Berger’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, MC, N/A, T-27

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +20,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Berger (-145) over Jason Dufner (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 6:58 a.m. ET (Thursday); 1:57 a.m ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Berger has been out of form for a while now. He had that surprising run at the U.S. Open, getting into the final pairing on Sunday. But even he admitted in the post-round interview that it was mainly due to a red-hot putter. Outside of that week, he’s really struggled. He’s off my radar this week in any format.


The Metrics

Here’s how Berger ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-45th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 48th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 96th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 35th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-41st

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Daniel Berger

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