2018 British Open: The Case for Fading Daniel Berger
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Daniel Berger
For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.
Daniel Berger’s British Open Odds
DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel
British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, MC, N/A, T-27
Odds: +20,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish
Best Odds Value: +20,000 to win
Best Matchup Value: Berger (-145) over Jason Dufner
Tee Times: 6:58 a.m. ET (Thursday); 1:57 a.m ET (Friday)
Berger has been out of form for a while now. He had that surprising run at the U.S. Open, getting into the final pairing on Sunday. But even he admitted in the post-round interview that it was mainly due to a red-hot putter. Outside of that week, he’s really struggled. He’s off my radar this week in any format.
Here’s how Berger ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
- Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
- Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-45th
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 48th
- Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 96th
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 35th
- Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-41st
Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.