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US Open Betting Picks: Most Bettors Ignoring This Huge Model Edge

US Open Betting Picks: Most Bettors Ignoring This Huge Model Edge article feature image
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PRO
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Bill Streicher-Imagn Images. Pictured: Broken tees around the tee marker on hole 9 at 2026 U.S. Open

The 126th U.S. Open returns to the daunting, wind-swept layout of Shinnecock Hills, where punishing greens and severe elements promise a brutal test of attrition.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler commands the betting board as the clear favorite at +550 odds (BetMGM) as he looks to secure his first U.S. Open title and complete the elusive career Grand Slam.

Masters champion Rory McIlroy sits next on the board at +1200, hoping his past success on links-style designs translates to early momentum on Long Island.

Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele are next at +1400 and +1800, respectively, before a logjam at +2000 that includes Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood.

Interestingly, one of these favorites is currently showing as Action PRO's largest outright betting edge, while another sleeper is popping across multiple top-finish markets to make the cut.

Here are two foundational U.S. Open betting picks to have on your card this week at Shinnecock Hills, including one that many bettors are ignoring.

2 Sharp U.S. Open Betting Picks

*Odds as of Wednesday morning

Let's start with Action PRO's top outright edge.