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ATL @ PHI

11:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Aaron Nola logoA. NolaPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.2511-13
Jake Odorizzi logoJ. OdorizziAtlanta Braves logo3.754-3

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
100-60
+1.5
+1.5-159
o7-110
+140
Phillies
87-73
u7.5
-1.5+135
u7-109
-167
location pinFriday 11:05 p.m.
September 23, 2022
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Braves vs. Phillies Game Analysis

Braves vs. Phillies Notes

Keys to the Game

The Phillies are 147-51 (.742) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Braves are 103-80 (.563) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Matchup Contrasts

Matt Olson is batting just .232 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.
Michael Harris is batting .512 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth best among hitters with at least 223 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (517/740) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola's K:BB ratio is 12.1 (109/9) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.0 -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (43/177) against Jake Odorizzi in non-two strike counts this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 0 Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (751/1,667) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

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Braves vs. Phillies Expert Picks

ATL
PHI
ATL ML
1
PHI ML
0
Over
1
Under
0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 22ndATLW 1-0+1.5 WU 7.5PHI +120
Sep 21stTORW 4-3+1.5 WU 8.5PHI -112
Sep 20thTORL 11-18+1.5 LO 8.5TOR +102
Sep 18th@ATLL 2-5+1.5 LU 8ATL +210
Sep 17th@ATLL 3-4-1.5 LU 8ATL -114

Braves vs. Phillies Public Betting

54%

Bets%

46%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
80-8041-4039-4048-5632-24
Braves
81-7940-4141-3866-6115-17

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
80-75-539-37-541-3853-47-427-28-1
Braves
78-75-737-42-241-33-561-60-617-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
87-7347-3440-3961-4326-30
Braves
100-6055-2645-3488-3912-20

Phillies vs. Braves Injury Updates

Phillies Injuries

  • Corey Knebel

    P

    Knebel is out with back

    Out

  • Brad Hand

    P

    Hand is out with elbow

    Out

  • Edmundo Sosa

    IF

    Edmundo Sosa (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Mark Appel

    P

    Appel is out with elbow

    Out

Braves Injuries

  • Darren O'Day

    P

    O'Day is out with calf

    Out

  • Luke Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with arm

    Out

  • Adam Duvall

    OF

    Duvall is out for season with wrist

    Out for Season

  • Manny Piña

    C

    Manny Pina (wrist) placed on 10-day IL

    Out Indefinitely

  • Ronald Acuña Jr.

    OF

    Acuna Jr. is day-to-day with back

    Day-to-Day

  • Ozzie Albies

    IF

    Albies is out with finger

    Out

  • Huascar Ynoa

    P

    Ynoa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Brooks Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Spencer Strider

    P

    Spencer Strider (oblique) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

Braves vs. Phillies Box Score

Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Odorizzi, P
95468
LT. Matzek, P
49221
RJ. Stephens, P
11110
RO. Arcia, P
10100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1D. Swanson, SS
1-4000
1R. Bannon, 2B
0-0000
2M. Harris II, CF
0-4000
2G. Heredia, CF
0-0000
3A. Riley, 3B
2-3000
4T. d'Arnaud, C
1-4000
5M. Olson, 1B
0-4000
6W. Contreras, DH
0-3000
7E. Rosario, LF
1-4100
8V. Grissom, 2B
0-4000
8V. Grissom, SS
0-4000
9R. Grossman, RF
1-1001
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RA. Nola, P
104680
RN. Nelson, P
31221
RC. Brogdon, P
11120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Schwarber, LF
0-4100
1N. Maton, LF
0-0000
2R. Hoskins, 1B
3-4114
3B. Harper, DH
0-2001
3D. Sands, PH
0-0000
3D. Sands, DH
0-0000
4J. Realmuto, C
1-4100
4G. Stubbs, C
0-1000
5A. Bohm, 3B
3-4201
6B. Marsh, CF
2-3101
6D. Guthrie, RF
0-2000
7J. Segura, 2B
0-3100
7Y. Muñoz, 2B
0-0000
8B. Stott, SS
0-2101
9M. Vierling, RF
1-3101
9M. Vierling, CF
1-3101

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Braves vs. Phillies Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
100-60
o2.5-141
u2.5119
Phillies
87-73
o3.5-125
u3.5104

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