Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2022

Cardinals at Brewers

11:40 pm • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

6 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			4.73	6-10
M.Mikolas			3.29	12-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5+140	o8.5-110	-120
Brewers 3-6	+1.5-167	u8.5-110	+104

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 27, 2022

American Family FieldMilwaukee

STL -114

Under 8+100

0.5u

DK. Bet to -108

STL -115 (F5)

$0.87

STL -115 (F5)

0.5u

MGM. Need -115 or better

STL +100

On FanDuel for Tuesday. It's a high-motivation spot for both teams, meaning we can analyze this one straight up. Doing so favors the Cardinals for me. My numbers put them at 56.4% to win, up from 50% implied. Most of that is due to the rough peripherals Adrian Houser has had since returning from injury. He hasn't gotten knocked around in each outing, but the Cardinals' offense is a tough one to face if you're not fully on. Miles Mikolas is pitching well enough for me to buy into this one on both sides.

Tuesday's MLB PrizePicks Props: How to Bet Ohtani & Trout
Tony Sartori•
Sep 27, 2022 UTC
The Prop to Bet in Cardinals-Brewers Showdown
Nick Martin•
Sep 27, 2022 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Cardinals are 98-87 (.530) on the road since the 2020 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Nolan Arenado is batting .326 on fastballs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 66% of the time this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt has 5 home runs on fastballs down this season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Adrian Houser has located his fastball down 49% of the time this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (658/1,433) vs left-handed batters this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 96th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has walked 9 of 279 batters (3%) versus the top of the order this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Cardinals	80-82	41-40	39-42	25-42	54-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Cardinals	81-74-7	39-39-3	42-35-4	33-29-5	47-45-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Cardinals	78-84	44-37	34-47	33-34	44-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 25th	@CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -148
Sep 24th	@CIN	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -220
Sep 23rd	@CIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -167
Sep 22nd	@CIN	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL -175
Sep 21st	NYM	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +115

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

Masyn Winn
SS
Masyn Winn (knee) has been scratched Friday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	102	6	9	1
RA.Pallante, P	15	1	0	1
RR.Helsley, P	25	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
1J.Yepez, PH	1-1	0	0	1
1P.DeJong, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5C. Dickerson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5B. DeLuzio, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6A. Pujols, DH	0-3	1	0	0
7D.Carlson, CF	2-4	2	0	0
7D.Carlson, RF	2-4	2	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Edman, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9T.Edman, 2B	1-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	74	3.1	3	3
LB.Suter, P	17	1	1	2
RT.Gott, P	31	1.1	0	1
LH.Milner, P	21	1.1	1	0
LT.Rogers, P	16	1.1	2	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	19	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5K. Wong, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Hiura, DH	0-3	1	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9G.Mitchell, CF	2-3	0	0	1