MLB PrizePicks Props Today: 5 Picks, Including Shohei Ohtani & Mike Trout (Tuesday, September 27)
Photo by David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike Trout (Angels)
- Tony Sartori helps you formulate your PrizePicks parlay through two MLB games on Tuesday evening.
- He dives into Cardinals-Brewers and Athletics-Angels, including backing two superstar hitters.
- Get your parlay picks below!
Tuesday's MLB slate features 15 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday's Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Patrick Sandoval Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 32.5
Taking the mound for Los Angeles is left-hander Patrick Sandoval, who has flown under the radar in the American League.
Through 25 starts this season, he boasts a 3.02 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
On top of a great year, Sandoval enters this game in outstanding form.
Over his last nine starts, he has posted a 2.03 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Sandoval has not allowed more than two earned runs in a game since July 23 against the Braves.
This strong pitching should continue against Oakland, a team he has dominated over his short career. Through six career starts against the Athletics, Sandoval possesses a 1.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
Across 41 career plate appearances against the left-hander, this current Oakland roster possesses a mere .125 BA, .125 SLG and .215 wOBA. Since August 1, the Athletics rank just 26th in the league in BA, 28th in SLG, 28th in OPS and 28th in wOBA when facing left-handed pitching.
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Runs
We are also backing a couple of Angels hitters (I am sure you can guess which two), as they are slated to go against right-hander James Kaprielian.
Through 24 starts this season, Kaprielian is 4-9 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.
His metrics suggest that positive regression should not be an issue, as he possesses a .332 xwOBA, .250 xBA and .413 xSLG.
The first hitter we are backing is two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani.
Crossing the plate seven times over his last 10 games, Ohtani should be able to keep it rolling in this matchup. When facing right-handed pitching this year, his splits jump by about 13%, as he boasts a .273 BA, .555 SLG and .924 OPS.
Ohtani's metrics at the plate are outstanding, posting a .388 xwOBA, .276 xBA and .557 xSLG.
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Total Bases
It's not too shocking that we are backing the other stud on the Angels.
Mike Trout has gone nuclear since returning to the lineup on August 19 after missing 28 games with rib cage inflammation.
Over the 32 games he has played since then, he has gone over this total 19 times (59%) while smacking 13 homers in the process. Like Ohtani, his metrics this year are as good as you would expect, as he boasts a .398 xwOBA, .266 xBA and .585 xSLG.
While Trout hits better against left-handers, his splits against right-handed pitching are still very strong, as he has posted a .266/.611/.956 slash line.
Miles Mikolas Over 4.5 Strikeouts
We are going to be backing both pitchers in this contest, starting with St. Louis' right-hander Miles Mikolas.
Through 31 starts this year, he boasts a 3.35 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Not only has he had another good year, but Mikolas enters this game in particularly strong form.
Over his last eight starts, he has posted a 2.94 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. One of those outings came against Milwaukee, a game in which he racked up six strikeouts.
In fact, Mikolas has gone over this total in nine of his 13 career starts against the Brewers (69%). Since August 1, Milwaukee ranks just 20th in the league in K% when facing right-handed pitchers.
Adrian Houser Under 2 Earned Runs Allowed
As mentioned, we will also be backing Milwaukee's starting pitcher in this contest. We are getting some good value with this number for a couple of reasons.
First of all, Houser typically does not go deep into games, as he has pitched six or more innings just once over his last seven outings. While his surface-level stats are not the strongest, Houser enters this game in good form.
Over his last five outings, he is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Houser has gone under this number in four of those five games (80%).
This strong pitching should continue against St. Louis. Through 13 appearances against the Cardinals, Houser boasts a 2.89 ERA.
Across those 13 outings, Houser has allowed more than one earned run just three times.