Reds vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024

Reds at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI

Cincinnati Reds

10-11

4 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
F.Montas			5.01	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 10-11	+1.5	PK-103	o9.5-103	+100
Brewers 11-10	u9	PK-111	u9.5-116	-137

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 16, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Over 9-120

1.2u

MIL -125

0.5u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 32% against the Reds RPs over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 228 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Sunday
Action Network Staff•
Jun 16, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 7-22 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 10-1 (.909) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 39% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (61/290) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (104/439) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (89/500) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- third Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 14 of 102 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	11-10	7-5	4-5	8-5	2-5
Reds	12-9	7-5	5-4	4-2	8-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	7-12-2	4-7-1	3-5-1	4-8-1	3-3-1
Reds	10-10-1	5-6-1	5-4	1-4-1	8-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	11-10	8-4	3-6	9-4	1-6
Reds	10-11	6-6	4-5	4-2	6-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIL -135
Jun 15th	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CIN -170
Jun 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -125
Jun 12th	TOR	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +101
Jun 11th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -125

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Tobias Myers
P
Myers is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
P
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	89	5	5	3
RL.Sims, P	22	1	3	1
LS.Moll, P	7	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	19	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	3	1	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
3J.Hurtubise, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Martini, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, LF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	92	6	6	2
RE.Paredes, P	8	0.1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	8	0.2	1	1
RJ.Payamps, P	11	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	0-4	0	0	1
9B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0	0