Reds vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Reds at Brewers

12:10 am • BSWI

Cincinnati Reds

12-9

6 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

8-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 12-9	+1.5	+1.5-155	o7.5+100	+142
Brewers 8-12	u7.5	-1.5+130	u7.5-120	-170

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

June 15, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL -1.5+127

Under 4 (F5)-125

0.5u

MIL -1-115

MIL -148

1.48u

Over 7.5-115

MIL -0.5 (F5)+104

MIL -137

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

0.71u

F.Peralta o7.5 Ks+110

0.5u

H.Greene o17.5 Outs-156

F.Peralta u7.5 Ks-135

0.74u

F.Peralta o17.5 Outs-102

1.02u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

$1.00

F.Peralta o7.5 Ks+125

0.96u

MIL -132 (F5)

1.32u

Greene & Peralta's SIERA & xFIP nearly inverse each other, but the latter has an xFIP a full run better - MIL nearly 30 run wRC+ edge v RHP & large defensive edge.

Under 8-120

0.6u

Bet to 7.5 (-108)

MIL -132

0.66u

Bet to -140

Featured Insight
The Reds are batting .297 with RISP over the last two weeks -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .297 (11-for-37) against Brewers RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 228 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -125
Jun 12th	TOR	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +101
Jun 11th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -125
Jun 9th	@DET	L 2-10	+1.5 L	O 8	DET +145
Jun 8th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -173

Noelvi Marte
RF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Coleman Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	105	5	5	2
RN.Martinez, P	23	1	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	25	1	2	0
RF.Cruz, P	19	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	20	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	3-5	2	1	2
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
4S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	96	5.1	6	6
LH.Milner, P	6	0.2	0	0
RE.Hernandez, P	32	3	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	2	1	1
3C.Yelich, DH	2-4	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	0	1
5R.Hoskins, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	0-2	0	0	1
8J.Chourio, LF	2-3	0	0	1
9B.Perkins, CF	1-5	1	0	0