NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Saturday’s Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona


Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: A view of the fireworks display after the Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway

Jul 02, 2019, 09:52 AM EDT
  • NASCAR's Props Challenge game asks fans to answer 10 prop-betting questions each week, with weekly winners eligible for prizes.
  • PJ Walsh offers his Props Challenge picks and analysis for Saturday's Coke Zero Sugar 400 (7:30 p.m. ET, NBC) at Daytona.

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series returns to Daytona International Speedway on Saturday night for its traditional Fourth of July shootout under the lights.

With Daytona comes excitement, yet unpredictability. This provides an incredible viewing experience, but a much more difficult environment for projecting how the race will play out.

To make my NASCAR Props Challenge picks this week, I’ll be leaning heavily on performance from recent races run at Daytona — specifically the July races held at Daytona as opposed to the season-opening Daytona 500.

1. Will Saturday’s race winner be decided by a last lap pass? Yes or No?

This is completely a gut-feel pick, but with the playoffs fast approaching and drivers getting desperate for wins, I expect calamity late in Saturday’s race … especially on the last lap.

Pick: Yes

2. O/U 27.5 lead changes?

It’s important to remember that the July race at Daytona is 400 miles, compared to February’s Daytona 500. This has a major effect on what we can expect in terms of number of lead changes.

Looking at previous races, just one of the past seven July Daytona races has exceeded 27.5 lead changes.

Pick: Under

3. Will the race winner also win a stage? Yes or No?

While stage racing has been around for only two years, neither of those two winners at Daytona in July (Erik Jones in 2018 and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. in 2017) won stages.

Pick: No

4. Which three-car team will have the highest finishing driver? Team Penske or Front Row?