Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - February 4, 2025
Pelicans at Nuggets
2:00 am • ALTPelicans at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Pelicans 12-40 | +13.5 | +9.5-112 | o241.5-108 | +310 |
![]() Nuggets 34-19 | u235.5 | -9.5-112 | u241.5-112 | -400 |

Ball ArenaDenver
Pelicans vs. Nuggets Expert Picks

Top Shelf Action 🥃
6d ago
Last 30d: 368-326-12 (+71.4u)
N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-125
0.96u
Z.Williamson u5.5 Ast-105
1.81u

Brian Condon
6d ago
Last 30d: 45-45-1 (-5.0u)
J.Strawther o11.5 Pts-110
0.91u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
6d ago
Last 30d: 368-326-12 (+71.4u)
Y.Missi u7.5 Rebs-115
0.78u
T.Murphy u3.5 Ast+110
1.43u
J.Strawther o2.5 Rebs-115
0.87u
N.Jokic u1.5 Stl+114
0.8u

Shady Biev
6d ago
Last 30d: 169-185-7 (+25.2u)
NOP +10-110
2.2u

Kyle Just Bets
6d ago
Last 30d: 58-41-2 (+11.6u)
Z.Williamson o11.5 Rebs+Ast-110
1u

Picks Office
6d ago
Last 30d: 97-96-3 (-7.9u)
NOP +12-110
1u

Chris Gimino
6d ago
Last 30d: 21-16-0 (+4.4u)
Under 242.5-110
0.91u

Steak Friend
6d ago
Last 30d: 288-252-5 (+57.9u)
NOP +11-112
1.12u
NOP +420
0.5u

Milly Props
6d ago
Last 30d: 11-3-0 (+6.1u)
C.McCollum o19.5 Pts-125
0.8u
There's only been one games this season where CJ/Zion were both active and BI/Murray were out ... CJ scored 9 PTS and went 3-13 in just 23 MIN. It was an outlier game for CJ and I think we're getting a slight discount because of it.
Overall on the season, he's covered this line in 21/36 (58%) - AVG 21.86 PTS and 18.4 FGA. All of those games were with a mix of different lineups, so we don't have data to go off from this season w/ just CJ/Zion and w/o BI/Murray. He went over this line in 12/14 last season w/ Zion and w/o BI when playing 25+ MIN (Murray obviously out for all) - AVG 26.5 PTS and 20.8 FGA.
In the 14 games above, Trey was active for 12 of them and CJ took 17+ FGA in all 14/14. When he takes 15+ shots in a game, he's over this line in 20/28 games (71.4%).
DEN allow the 10th highest pullup FREQ% (26.5%) and over the last month they're allowing the 3rd highest pullup FREQ% (27.6%). This season he's over in 5/10 vs. the T10 in pullup FREQ% but every game involved some combo of Zion/BI/Murray. He's over in 2/4 vs. the T10 w/ Zion - 20, 27, 5, 13 PTS (17, 21, 14, 15 FGA). The two games he went over coincidentally were two games Murray was out (BI active).
CJ see's a +3.09% USG% increase when Murray is off the floor (29.02%) and a +5.37 PTS/100 increase when Murray is off the floor - PTS/100 increase is the biggest among NOP's starting five. In games CJ has had a 25%+ USG and played 25+ MIN, he's over this line in 18/24.
He's also played DEN once already this season (Murray active and Zion/BI out) and scored 24 PTS on 21 FGA. The closest comparison to his USG/volume are the games when both BI/Zion were out and Murray was active. Zion is also most likely still limited in some capacity.

Markus Markets
6d ago
Last 30d: 56-79-5 (-8.5u)
A.Gordon o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106
1u
FanDuel

Royals Props
6d ago
Last 30d: 71-74-2 (-12.5u)
J.Strawther o9.5 Pts-115
1u
FD

Lines at Lunch
6d ago
Last 30d: 94-95-3 (-14.3u)
C.McCollum o20.5 Pts-108
1u
Sandy

Sandy Plashkes
6d ago
Last 30d: 102-103-10 (+4.2u)
C.McCollum o20.5 Pts-108
1u

Moneyline Hacks
6d ago
Last 30d: 84-37-3 (+84.1u)
NOP +11.5-112
1u
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Cam Is Money
6d ago
Last 30d: 209-145-11 (+41.3u)
J.Alvarado o9.5 Pts-130
1u

Firefighter Bets
6d ago
Last 30d: 234-202-5 (+14.1u)
Z.Williamson o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1u
Pelicans vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pelicans vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 13-15 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Nuggets' 25 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pelicans vs. Nuggets Injury Updates

Pelicans Injuries
- Herbert JonesPF
Jones is out with shoulder
Out
- Jose AlvaradoPG
Jose Alvarado (illness) questionable Wednesday.
Questionable

Nuggets Injuries
- Vlatko CancarSF
Cancar is out with knee
Out
- Michael PorterSF
Michael Porter Jr. (hamstring) out Saturday.
Out
- Peyton WatsonPG
Peyton Watson (knee) out Saturday.
Out
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out
Player Stats
- scoringMichael Porter36ppg
- reboundingNikola Jokic14rpg
- assistsNikola Jokic10apg
- shootingNikola Jokic69.2fg%
Team Stats
Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Pelicans at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Pelicans 12-40 | o115.5-119 | u115.5-110 |
![]() Nuggets 34-19 | o125.5-112 | u125.5-112 |