Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Clippers Odds, Picks, Predictions | NBA Betting Preview (Sunday, March 17)

As the Atlanta Hawks prepare to face off against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday night at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, we will dive into the advanced metrics to determine a Hawks vs Clippers best bet. This encounter pits two teams with contrasting fortunes this season, providing an intriguing backdrop for betting strategies.

With key players missing from both sides, a deeper dive into the teams' statistical performances and narratives is crucial to finding the best betting edges. Let's get to my Hawks vs Clippers prediction and Hawks vs Clippers pick for Sunday night.

Positioned ninth in Offensive Rating, Atlanta has demonstrated competent scoring ability throughout the season. The big caveat with tonight’s matchup is the absence of All-Star guard Trae Young.

The Hawks' ranking of 18th in effective field goal percentage (eFG%) might not turn heads, but their prowess in maintaining possession (seventh in TO%) and dominance on the offensive boards (third in OREB%) underline their tenacity. Moreover, proficiency from the free-throw line — where they rank eighth in free-throw rate and seventh in percentage — adds another layer to their offensive arsenal.

However, Atlanta’s defensive woes — 28th in Defensive Rating — are stark. The bottom-of-the-league defensive eFG% and struggles in defensive rebounding paint a concerning picture, potentially exposing vulnerabilities against a Clippers team with firepower.

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The Clippers have carved out a reputation for efficiency and potency on offense this season, heralded by a fourth-place mark in Offensive Rating. Their precision from the field is evident in eFG% (fifth), complemented by a balanced approach to turnovers and rebounding.

What sets them apart is their remarkable performance from the charity stripe, where they rank fourth in both rate and percentage.

On the defensive end, the Clippers are a mixed bag. A respectable 10th in defensive eFG% showcases their ability to contest shots effectively, but their rebounding and turnover metrics suggest potential areas for exploitation.

However, their overall defensive standing is solid enough to challenge the Hawks – especially without Young in the lineup.

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In light of the detailed analysis and narratives, taking the Clippers to cover the first-half spread (-5.5) emerges as the best bet for this game. This recommendation is grounded in the Clippers' offensive prowess and their ability to start games strong, particularly in front of their home crowd.

Their scoring efficiency, coupled with the Hawks' defensive struggles, sets the stage for the Clippers to establish an early lead. The Hawks' defensive issues, especially their league-worst eFG% allowed, align perfectly with the Clippers' offensive strengths, suggesting that Los Angeles is well-positioned to exploit Atlanta's vulnerabilities from the get-go.

Furthermore, the majority of the Hawks’ balanced scoring attack comes from Trae Young leading the way – particularly their strong Offensive Rating, TO% and free-throw rate plus percentage. Without him in the lineup, Atlanta is at a serious disadvantage.

Take the Clippers 1H -5.5 and expect Los Angeles to shoot lights out early, leading to a dominant double-digit halftime lead.

Hawks vs Clippers Pick: Clippers First Half Spread -5.5