Download the App Image

Celtics vs. Heat Game 5 Betting Trends: Miami in Rare Spot as Home Underdog

Celtics vs. Heat Game 5 Betting Trends: Miami in Rare Spot as Home Underdog article feature image
Credit:

Issac Baldizon/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Bam Adebayo #13 of the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat are catching points at home in Wednesday’s Game 5 against the Boston Celtics, with the series tied 2-2.

If it sounds odd for Miami to be the underdog this late in the series — much less during the postseason in general — that’s because it is.

The Heat are the third No. 1 seed since 2005 — and the first in four years — to be listed a home underdog in Game 5, 6 or 7 of a postseason series.

The other two clubs were the 2018 Rockets in Game 5 against the Warriors (win) and the 2017 Celtics in Game 5 against the Cavaliers (loss).

Boston’s painted -2.5 across the board after opening as a short one-point favorite.

Both Miami and Boston have been excellent bets against the spread all season long.

The Heat and Celtics rank fourth and fifth respectively in cover rate, entering Game 5 at 57.3% and 56.4%.

The two clubs have alternated wins, both straight-up and against the spread, in all four Eastern Conference Finals matchups.

Wednesday’s clash marks the eighth between the two storied franchises in 2021-22, regular and postseason included.

The team that wins against the spread has provided a sweat-free victory in virtually every contest, covering by an average margin of 16.8 points per game.

After Boston took care of business in a 102-82 Game 4 rout, the public‘s back on the bandwagon, with two of every three betting tickets riding the Celtics minus the points tonight (you can check out all the public betting data here).

The must-have app for NBA bettors

The best NBA betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?