Hornets vs Mavericks Fanatics Markets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, January 29

Action Network Staff

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Updated:

Jan 29, 2026, 11:36 AM EST

Updated:

Jan 29, 2026, 11:36 AM EST

Hornets vs Mavericks Fanatics Markets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, January 29 article feature image

2 min read

Credit:

Photo Credit: Matthew Smith-Imagn Images
Pictured: Moussa Diabate

The Charlotte Hornets (19-28) and Dallas Mavericks (19-27) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on FDSSE.

The Hornets are 4.5-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Hornets -4.5), with the over/under set at 227.5 total points. Charlotte is a 62-cent favorite to win outright, while Dallas is priced at 39 cents to pull off the upset on Fanatics Markets.

Let's get into my Hornets vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, January 29.

Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks

Hornets vs Mavericks pick: Hornets to Win

My Mavericks vs. Hornets best bet is on Charlotte to win outright, with the best price currently available at Fanatics Markets, but make sure to shop for the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.

Hornets vs Mavericks Odds

(If you're unfamiliar with Fanatics Markets, read more here.)

Hornets vs Mavericks NBA Preview

The NBA system titled "Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (Season)" identifies regular-season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics, which appears to be the situation for the Hornets entering tonight's matchup against the Mavericks.

When a team's underlying performance indicators such as Pythagorean strength exceed public perception like the Hornets, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents that allow high scoring efficiency.

These games typically feature modest moneylines that suggest balance, while quietly overlooking the defensive mismatch.

Slight line movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are beginning to recognize the edge, yet the market often remains mispriced.

Hornets vs Mavericks Predictions, Betting Analysis

Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance, while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady long-term opportunity on the moneyline.

Overall, the system stands at 316-222 (59%) with a 4% ROI across all-time results. This season, it's off to a 37-22 (63%) start, producing a 14% ROI.

So, let's back the Hornets to win this game as modest road favorites on Thursday night.

the game is played during the Regular season

the opposing team's average points allowed is between 110 and 1000

the opposing team's defensive efficiency is between 110 and 1000

the team's Pythagorean +/- is between 2% and 100%

the closing moneyline is between -205 and 131

the spread change from open to close is between -100 and -0.5

the game was played during the 2025-26 or 2024-25 or 2023-24 or 2022-23 or 2021-22 or 2020-21 season

$1,982

WON

317-223-0

RECORD

59%

WIN%

View System

Pick: Hornets to Win

Mavericks vs Hornets Betting Trends

About the Author

Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

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