Warriors vs Spurs Odds, Pick, Prediction | NBA Betting Preview (Sunday, March 31)

Here's everything you need to know about Warriors vs Spurs on Sunday, March 31 — our expert prediction and betting guide.

The Warriors will travel to San Antonio to take on Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs in their fifth game in a row on the road. Can Golden State extend its three-game win streak, or will San Antonio build off its impressive win over the Knicks?

The Spurs will be shorthanded on Sunday night as Devin Vassell (left foot soreness), Keldon Johnson (left foot sprain) and Jeremy Sochan (left ankle impingement) have been ruled out. Those injuries have impacted Warriors vs Spurs odds, as the Warriors are now 10.5-point favorites on the spread and -500 on the moneyline. The over/under sits at 226.5.

Let's get to our Warriors vs Spurs prediction and pick.

Editor's Note: This story was written before Vassell, Johnson and Sochan were ruled out.

The Warriors have won and covered in three straight games and will need to remain locked in considering the Rockets are only one game back of them for the 10-seed.

This is the third time these teams have matched up this month and so far they have split the games 1-1. The last time the Warriors matched up against the Spurs, they won with defense, holding San Antonio to just 102 points across 100 possessions. The Spurs did a good job limiting the Warriors' offense to 2s, as Golden State attempted just 27% of its shots from 3 in that game. They were able to convert on 46% of those 3-pointers, but you could definitely argue they had some shooting luck in that game.

Ultimately, I’d expect the Warriors' offense to struggle here while their defense is likely sustainable given how ineffective this Spurs offense has been all season.

The Spurs are coming off an impressive home overtime win over the Knicks. They were able to pull off the upset despite allowing Jalen Brunson to go for 61 points. San Antonio was elite on offense against New York, posting an offensive rating of 125.

The big issue for this Spurs offense has been their turnover issues and their inability to generate second chances; they rank 24th in the NBA in turnover rate and 23rd in offensive rebound rate on the season. The Warriors do not create many turnovers on defense, ranking just 23rd in turnover rate, so the Spurs should have chances to convert on offense.

One good sign for the Spurs is the fact they were able to generate about 80% of their shots either at the rim or at the 3-point line in their last game against the Warriors. If they can recreate that shot profile and increase their efficiency, I think they can hang around here.

I think Spurs +8.5 is a bit too high when you factor in the reality that this is the Warriors' fifth game in a row on the road and the Spurs may have a bit more energy after an impressive overtime win over the Knicks.

San Antonio has already shown it can compete with this Golden State team, so I think this line should be closer to -7 and will grab the Spurs at +8.5.

Pick: Spurs +8.5

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