The NBA postseason continues tonight, Thursday, May 7, with two crucial Game 2s — and our Pick Labs projections have identified significant value on the player prop ladder for Deandre Ayton and Marcus Smart as we look to cash a +3700 parlay.
Let's get into our NBA Parlay Picks for Lakers vs. Thunder Game 2 tonight.
NBA Parlay Picks for Thunder vs Lakers Game 2
- Marcus Smart 6+ Assists (+290)
- Jaylin Williams 6+ Rebounds (+310)
- Deandre Ayton 12+ Points (+182)
Parlay Payout: +3700 (DraftKings)
Marcus Smart | Assists Milestones
4+ Assists: -146 (74.5% Proj. Chance | 15.1% Edge)
5+ Assists: +145 (56.2% Proj. Chance | 15.4% Edge)
6+ Assists: +290 (38.2% Proj. Chance | 12.6% Edge)
There was a lot of chatter heading into this series about how the return of Austin Reaves might squeeze Marcus Smart out of the Lakers' primary playmaking duties. Game 1 gave us a definitive answer: it hasn't.
Smart logged nearly 32 minutes in the opener, and while Reaves is back in the mix, the Lakers need Smart’s defensive edge and steady hand at the point—especially with the roster thin on creators.
Smart isn't just a "3-and-D" guy in this system; he’s acting as the vital connective tissue for the offense. He recorded 7 assists in Game 1, and our projections suggest a significant 15.4% edge on him hitting the 5+ mark.
We’re taking it to the 6+ rung for the parlay, as the Lakers' reliance on him appears undiminished.
Jaylin Williams | Rebounds Milestones
4+ Rebounds: -115 (68.4% Proj. Chance | 14.9% Edge)
5+ Rebounds: +169 (49.9% Proj. Chance | 12.8% Edge)
6+ Rebounds: +310 (32.5% Proj. Chance | 8.1% Edge)
Jaylin Williams is the ultimate "energy big" for Oklahoma City. He grabbed 7 rebounds in just 20 minutes of action in Game 1, showcasing the kind of per-minute efficiency that makes him a Pick Labs favorite.
While the Thunder don't necessarily plan on playing him 30 minutes every night, tonight’s script may favor another heavy dose of the bench.
Oklahoma City enters as a 15.5-point favorite, and if the Thunder pull away early again, Williams' role is exactly the kind that expands in a blowout. He has recorded 6+ rebounds in two of his last three games, and at +310, the market may be underestimating his nose for the ball in a potentially lopsided Game 2.
Deandre Ayton | Points Milestones
10+ Points: -108 (65.5% Proj. Chance | 13.6% Edge)
11+ Points: +110 (56.5% Proj. Chance | 8.8% Edge)
12+ Points: +182 (48.3% Proj. Chance | 12.8% Edge)
Deandre Ayton's Game 1 line (10 points on 5-of-12 FG) might look pedestrian, but the volume is what matters. His 12 field goal attempts were right in line with the shot volume he saw during his recent stretch where he scored 18+ in five of his last 10 games.
OKC’s interior defense is tough, but the Lakers have to keep feeding Ayton to keep the Thunder from selling out on their perimeter stars.
Ayton has scored 10+ points in seven of his last 10 games. If he maintains that 12+ FG attempt baseline, he hits the 12-point mark most of the time simply through sheer volume. We're seeing a 12.8% edge on this 12+ rung.
Thunder vs Lakers Game 2 Parlay
- Marcus Smart 6+ Assists (+290)
- Jaylin Williams 6+ Rebounds (+310)
- Deandre Ayton 12+ Points (+182)
Parlay Payout: +3700 (DraftKings)
If you combine these two props from our top edges in Pick Labs, you get a parlay with a potential a payout of +3700.
This is considered a long shot for the reason, and you should treat it as such. However, we are showing a nice edge at that price — with our Pick Labs models projecting a 6.1% chance of this parlay hitting, while +3700 implies only a 2.6% chance.
