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NBA Player Prop Bets & Picks: Back De’Aaron Fox and Anfernee Simons

NBA Player Prop Bets & Picks: Back De’Aaron Fox and Anfernee Simons article feature image
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Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images. Pictured: De’Aaron Fox #5 of the Sacramento Kings.

  • The NBA has only three games on Thursday night, but our props analyst still found two overs he likes.
  • He's backing a pair of talented guards in De'Aaron Fox and Anthony Simons.
  • Check out Munaf Manji's picks and analysis below.

There are three West Coast games on the NBA schedule tonight, and I have found a couple of player props I like the for the action.

We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Below, I have laid out two prop bets that I’m playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.

NBA Player Props & Picks

Anfernee Simons, Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+110)

Brooklyn Nets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Blazers -1.5
Time | TV 10 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Line DraftKings

The Nets have struggled to defend the 3-point line so far this season. In fact, the Nets rank 28th in opponent 3-point percentage (38%) and are allowing opponents to knock down 13.5 three-point shots per game, which ranks 27th.

Tonight the Nets will be challenged with defending Anfernee Simons, who is a lethal 3-point marksman shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc. But more so, Simons is getting up the attempts per game from the 3-point line. He is averaging 10.4 attempts per game and knocking down an average of 3.7 per game.

Simons has been hot from beyond the arc in his six November games as he has knocked four or more 3-point shots five times. Furthermore, Simons has knocked down at least five 3-point shots in three straight games for the Blazers. Lastly, Simons has faced two teams, the Miami Heat and Memphis Grizzlies, that also rank near the bottom of the league in 3-point defense and knocked down four 3-pointers in each of those games.


Spurs vs.

Kings

De’Aaron Fox, Over 6.5 Assists (-130)

San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings Kings -7
Time | TV 10 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Line DraftKings

De’Aaron Fox is off to an incredible start to the season as he has improved his jumpshot and become the focal point of the Kings offense. One underrated part of Fox’s game has been his ability to find his teammates and rack up the assists, and he should have plenty of opportunities to stuff the stat sheet tonight against the Spurs’ poor defense.

Thus far this season, Fox is averaging 6.1 assists per game, and he has been incredible dishing the ball in the month of November. In fact, Fox has dished seven or more assists in four straight games. This sets up to be a favorable matchup for him against a Spurs defense that allows a league-worst 27.7 assists per game this season.

Fox has accumulated so many assists thanks in large part to the pick-and-roll game with Domantas Sabonis and the shooters he has around him, such as Kevin Huerter, who is shooting 52.6% from 3-point land. Expect the Kings to find success tonight on offense against this Spurs defense and Fox to have a big game with at least seven assists.

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