NBA Player Prop & Pick: Bet Mike Conley in Hornets vs. Timberwolves (February 24)

NBA Player Prop & Pick: Bet Mike Conley in Hornets vs. Timberwolves (February 24) article feature image
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Photo by David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike Conley.

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NBA Player Prop & Pick

PropMike Conley over 6.5 assists (-125)
MatchupHornets vs. Timberwolves
Time8 p.m. ET
Best BookFanDuel

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Charlotte Hornets in a game featuring a slate-high 241 totalpoints set by oddsmakers. With many projected buckets in store, I eye Mike Conley's assists prop as value on Friday night.

Since joining the Timberwolves, Conley is averaging 6.0 assists per game on 51.0 passes made. It's only three games, but with the lengthy All-Star break, I expect the veteran guard to have gelled more with his new teammates.

In the small sample size, the veteran has averaged a teammate-high 1.7 assists per game to Rudy Gobert, where conversions are coming inside the rim. Conley only recorded three assists versus Memphis on Feb. 10, but that was primarily due to the Grizzlies' No. 8 (48.0) paint defense. Gobert finished with just eight points on four attempts in that contest.

Unlike the Grizzlies, in their last four games since the trade deadline, the Hornets have allowed the third-most points inside the paint (60.0), which is excellent for Conley's assists conversions down low. The Hornets are the worst in the NBA in opponent assists per game, allowing 26.6.

Past guards who have faced the Hornets include Trae Young (14 assists), Derrick White (10), Jaden Ivey (seven) and DeMar DeRozan (seven).

With Terry Rozier and Kelly Oubre Jr. probable to play and the spread just 6.5, the Hornets should be able to keep the game close.

Being the primary facilitator in an uptempo matchup with the highest-scoring team total on the slate, I love Conley to rack up at least seven assists. I am comfortable taking this up to -140.

Pick: Mike Conley Over 6.5 Assists (-125) | Play to -140

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