NBA Player Prop & Pick: Ride the Wave With Naji Marshall in Pelicans vs. Pistons (January 13)

NBA Player Prop & Pick: Ride the Wave With Naji Marshall in Pelicans vs. Pistons (January 13) article feature image

Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Naji Marshall #8 of the New Orleans Pelicans, Jalen Duren #0 of the Detroit Pistons.

  • The New Orleans Pelicans are on the road in Detroit for a matchup with the Pistons Friday night.
  • The shorthanded Pels won't have two of their All-Stars, but Naji Marshall has filled in admirably since Zion Williamson got injured.
  • PropBetGuy details how he's finding betting value on Marshall's odds in this spot below.

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

NBA Player Prop & Pick

Naji Marshall, 25.5 PTS + REB +AST

OddsOver 25.5 PRA (-115)
Time7 p.m. ET
Books AvailableDraftKings

If you’ve been following me on Twitter (shameless plug: @PropBetGuy) or in the Action App, you already know that I’ve been riding Naji Marshall over the past few games. The Pelicans forward has been thrusted into a prominent role in the absence of stars Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram.

Over his last five contests, Marshall has cleared this line four times, with his lone miss being 25 Points + Rebounds + Assists. His usage has been consistent, registering between 20-24% in each game.

The Xavier product is versatile, with multiple means of production. Over the last five games, Marshall ranks second on the Pelicans in field goal attempts per game (14.8), first in free throw attempts (6.6), third in potential assists (6.8), and third in rebound chances (9.0).

And tonight, against the Pistons, Marshall should find himself in yet another prime opportunity to stuff the stat sheet. Detroit has consistently been one of the NBA’s worst defensive teams throughout the season, ranking 29th. The Pistons lack plus defenders across the board and Marshall should be in a great spot.

And being that he’s also one of the Pelicans better defenders, the third-year pro has a massive minutes ceiling — he’s played at least 33 minutes in each of the last five games, in varying game scripts.

Tonight, I have Marshall projected at 29 PRA, and would play this line up to over 26.5 PRA.

Pick: Naji Marshall Over 25.5 PRA (-115)

Get all of PropBetGuy's bets instantly in The Action Network app.

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Nick Sterling
May 17, 2024 UTC