Tonight’s NBA slate features a high-stakes Game 6 doubleheader as the Pistons fight for survival against the Cavaliers and the Spurs look to close out the Timberwolves.
While superstars Cade Cunningham and Victor Wembanyama dominate the headlines, we’ve found a betting edge in the supporting cast. Paul Reed has become Detroit’s essential interior anchor, while Dylan Harper already proved he is a primary weapon in San Antonio's quest for the Western Conference Finals.
Let's get into my NBA milestone props for Friday, May 15.
NBA Milestone Props for Friday, May 15
- Paul Reed Over 6.5 Points (-119) / 10+ Points (+206)
- Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points (-132) / 15+ Points (+235)
Paul Reed Over 6.5 Points / 10+ Points
We're going with the trends of this series.
JB Bickerstaff is showing the willingness to bench Jalen Duren, having played Paul Reed the entire fourth quarter last game, benching Duren down the stretch of regulation and overtime.
Reed, while being sprinkled into the series, has scored 11 points in 10 minutes, 15 points in 14 minutes and 10 points in 17 minutes these last three games. This, while Duren has seen his minutes drop to 29, 27, and 25.
Duren should play, make no mistake, but even if he does bounce back, Reed has to get minutes. His production warrants it, and honestly, if the Pistons pivot to starting a double big lineup, Reed either starts or would back up Duren and Isaiah Stewart, sliding up in the rotation.
His recent play makes me comfortable to go to 10 or more points at +206.
Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 6 Player Props
- Paul Reed Over 6.5 Points (-119)
- Paul Reed to Score 10+ Points (+206)
Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points / 15+ Points
Dylan Harper has been unleashed during the playoffs.
The Spurs are leaning into his creation and scoring off the bench, where he's averaging 10 shot attempts per game this series in 24.6 minutes per game.
He's over 10.5 points in four of five games and at 15+ in two. I'll sprinkle the latter at +235 on FanDuel.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 6 Player Props
- Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points (-132)
- Dylan Harper to Score 15+ Points (+235)
