NBA Player Props & Picks: Zion Williamson, Kevin Durant Among Top Bets
Layne Murdoch Jr./NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Zion Williamson #1 of the New Orleans Pelicans.
- PropBetGuy returns with a trio of best prop bets for Friday's stacked NBA slate.
- He's eying three overs, including a play on Zion Williamson with Brandon Ingram out.
- Check out his picks and analysis below.
NBA Player Props & Picks
Pascal Siakam, Over 30.5 Points +Assists (-125)
|Prop||Over 30.5 Points + Assists|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
Even in his seventh season, Pascal Siakam continues to improve. Spicy P is averaging 31.6 points plus assists this season, registering at least 31 in nine of his 15 games.
Interestingly, 12 of the 15 games Siakam has played have been against teams with an above average Defensive Rating. The Magic are on the other end of that spectrum, currently ranked 27th in defensive rating.
The Magic don’t have an answer defensively for the versatile forward, as evidenced by Siakam’s 36 points and assists in their matchup last week. I expect another strong game from the Raptors’ leader and have him projected at 34 combined points and assists.
Pick: Pascal Siakam Over 30.5 Points + Assists (-125) | Play to 31.5
Kevin Durant, Over 27.5 Points (-120)
|Prop||Over 27.5 Points|
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
It’s not often we get a discount on Durant’s points line, but the books are seemingly feeling generous tonight. KD is averaging 29.8 points per game this season, and when playing with Kyrie Irving, his scoring average jumps to 30.3.
The Slim Reaper is on a tear lately, eclipsing this line in six of his last seven games. The Hawks, without both of their starting forwards, De’Andre Hunter and John Collins, will struggle to matchup with Durant. We saw this last season, with KD dropping 55, 32 and 31 points against the Hawks.
I have the Nets star projected for another 30-point outing today.
Zion Williamson, Over 25.5 Points
|Prop||Over 25.5 Points|
|Time||8:30 p.m. ET|
This line is a tick above Zion Williamson’s per game average of 23.9 points and against a tough team defense. So, what gives?
Well, with the Pelicans still without Brandon Ingram, it’s likely they continue to play through Williamson. He has eclipsed this total in nine of his last 15 games and in eight of 10 games in which he’s played at least 32 minutes.
The Suns do rate highly defensively, but they should struggle against the size and athleticism of Williamson. Whether it’s Torrey Craig or Mikal Bridges, Williamson should continue to get to the basket at ease (16 drives per game over his last 10 games).
CJ McCollum has struggled lately, and Jonas Valanciunas will go toe to toe with Deandre Ayton. In a star-studded Friday night matchup at home, I project Williamson at 29 points.
Pick: Zion Williamson Over 25.5 Points | Play to 26.5