Paolo Banchero, Keegan Murray See Odds Movement in NBA Rookie of the Year Market

Paolo Banchero, Keegan Murray See Odds Movement in NBA Rookie of the Year Market article feature image
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Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Paolo Banchero #5 of the Orlando Magic boxes out Keegan Murray #13 of the Sacramento Kings.

The Oklahoma City Thunder's announcement that Chet Holmgren would miss the 2022-23 season due to a Lisfranc injury in his right foot dominated the headlines in the basketball world on Thursday, but how were other players in the rookie class impacted?

Holmgren held 13.0% of the tickets and 10.1% of the handle in the market at BetMGM, but he wasn't the favorite.

That title would belong to Orlando Magic rookie, Paolo Banchero, who dipped from +200 from +350 following the news regarding Holmgren.

Banchero accounts for 25.0% of the betting tickets and 40.9% of the handle in the market, and the No. 1 pick is the biggest liability for the book.

The second liability is not Houston Rockets rookie, Jabari Smith Jr., but rather Detroit Pistons guard, Jaden Ivey, who shortened from +650 to +550 after Holmgren's injury. Ivey has received 29.1% of the wagers and 19.9% of the handle.

Ivey was a Purdue standout who was mocked as a top pick for years in the lead-up to the most recent draft, but he fell in favor of Banchero, Holmgren, Smith Jr. and Keegan Murray.


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Speaking of Murray, the fellow Big 10 star has tracked solid action himself. He was +600 prior to Holmgren's injury, but now sits at +500.

Murray has amassed 12.5% of the tickets and 15.7% of the handle. He was the MVP of the Summer League playing for the Sacramento Kings.

One player that hasn't attracted any action? Smith Jr., who has received just 1.9% of the wagers and 0.8% of the handle.

A Rookie of the Year award for the Auburn standout would be a massive win for the books, and Smith didn't even move from his pre-Holmgren injury price of +600.

This will be an interesting battle to watch unfold.

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Nick Sterling
May 17, 2024 UTC