Toronto Raptors 2021 NBA Win Total Odds & Pick: Trust In Nick Nurse

Toronto Raptors 2021 NBA Win Total Odds & Pick: Trust In Nick Nurse article feature image
Credit:

Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Nick Nurse of the Toronto Raptors.

Check out this post for updated season win total and this post for my other 29 season win total picks.

Raptors Win Total Odds

Best Line
82-Game Projection
Over: 41.5 (FanDuel) [Bet Now]
47 Wins
Under: 42.5 (BetMGM) [Bet Now]
48 Wins

The Case for the Over

This should be an autoplay. Nick Nurse has shown himself to be so good that 50 wins is the floor.

Yes, they lost Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. But Ibaka was coming off the bench often and Gasol only played 44 games. The Raptors notoriously thrived despite injuries to waves of players throughout the season, and the Raptors will likely be able to figure out enough player development to cover the gaps.

The Raptors added Alex Len and Aron Baynes in the offseason. Those are two underrated centers and by the time they get acclimated midseason you’ll start to hear “You know who’s been sneaky good?” about one of them.

Kyle Lowry looks as good as ever. Fred VanVleet was top-15 in both assists and made threes this year. They have shooters, rebounders, team defense, leadership — the whole package.

The Raptors were on pace for 60 wins based on their win percentage. Sixty! We’re talking an 11-win drop-off. What are we doing?

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The Case for the Under

Another year on Lowry. The foundational bigs are gone. Pascal Siakam took a huge step back last season.

The Raptors travel more miles in the first half of the season than any other team. They have the fewest rest-advantage games in the first half of the season.

The Raptors were worse in Pythagorean win percentage than actual. They were great last year, but they overperformed.

Eventually the Raptors’ talent becomes the most important thing, and this team doesn’t have that much talent, especially top-end.

Toronto Raptors Win Total Bet

Over. Love the over.

Nick Nurse is a warlock.

[Bet now at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.]