Raptors vs. Warriors NBA Finals Betting Preview: Will Golden State Rebound in Game 4?

Jun 07, 2019 07:25 PM EDT

Credit: Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Klay Thompson (11).

2019 NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Odds: Raptors at Warriors

  • Spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Over/Under: 215
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Series Score: Raptors Lead 2-1

>> All odds as of Thursday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.

The Warriors will get Klay Thompson back but will have to battle down 2-1 without Kevin Durant again for Game 4.

Will they even the series? Our experts discuss.

Betting Trends to Know

The Warriors are 41-14 (74.5%) straight-up after losing by double digits in their previous game under Steve Kerr. That 74.5% win rate for Kerr is the second-highest in the Bet Labs database (since 2004-05), behind none other than Nick Nurse, who is 11-1 (91.7%) in that spot, including 3-0 in the playoffs. – Evan Abrams

The Warriors allowed 123 points in their Game 3 loss to the Raptors — the fourth time they have allowed 120 points or more in the 2019 playoffs. In the 2017 and 2018 playoffs combined, the Warriors allowed 120 points or more a total of three times.

Under Kerr, the Warriors have held their opponents to 106 points per game in their next game, with just 12 of 63 teams reaching that 120 point mark again. After allowing 120 points or more, the Warriors are 49-14 (77.8%) straight-up, including 10-3 in the playoffs, but they did lose their last game in this spot against the Rockets in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. – Abrams

What an awful defensive performance for the Warriors in Game 3: Toronto shot over 40% from 3-point range, scored more than 120 points and had 30 assists. It was only the second time the Warriors have allowed that “triple-disaster” on defense in their 102 playoff games under Steve Kerr.

Both of those defensive performances have come in the 2019 playoffs; the first time it happened was in the first round against the Clippers, and the Dubs won and covered against L.A. in Game 3. – Abrams

In Game 3 in Oracle Arena, the Raptors became just the second team to beat the Warriors in their first home playoff game of a series. Under Kerr, the Warriors are 9-1-1 (90.9%) against the first-half spread and 10-1 straight-up on the first half moneyline in the playoffs at home after losing their previous game, beating their opponents by 8.6 points per game. – Abrams

Mears: How I’m Handicapping Game 4

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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