Wednesday NBA First Basket Props: 3 Plays for Warriors vs. Grizzlies

Wednesday NBA First Basket Props: 3 Plays for Warriors vs. Grizzlies article feature image

NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors First Basket

PropBane +700, Adams +1000, Jackson 3PT +2000
MatchupGrizzlies vs. Warriors
Time7:30 p.m. ET
Book FanDuel & WynnBet

The Warriors travel to Memphis to take on a Grizzlies squad without Ja Morant on Wednesday night.

Steven Adams (78% opening-tip win) will be taking on Jonathan Kuminga, who has yet to win a tip this season for Golden State. Even if Jaren Jackson jumps for Memphis, they should easily win the tip.

The Grizzlies score first 59% of the time while the Warriors score first 38% of the time. The Grizzlies have scored first in each of the four playoff games in this series.

Normally I’d go with Dillon Brooks here as his usage rate early in games is high, but Brooks has been terrible in this series, shooting just 16.5%. He’s putting up a lot of shots, but missing a ton as well.

For the Grizzlies to have a chance, they need Bane to be more aggressive. In Game 4, the first possession was a play for Bane, but he got double-teamed and then dished to Adams.

So I’ll take Bane first basket. I’m not looking for a lotto play here, but would like to win about 2 units.

Because of that, I’m going to spread my plays out and add Adams as a bit of a lotto play and Jaren Jackson exact method (3-pointer) at +2000.

Plays

  • Desmond Bane 1st basket at WynnBet +700 (FanDuel is +600). Risk 0.6U
  • Steven Adams 1st basket at FanDuel +1000. Risk 0.3U
  • Jaren Jackson exact method: 3-pointer at FanDuel +2000. Risk 0.2U

Grizzlies vs. Warriors First Basket Data

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Sean Treppedi
Jun 12, 2024 UTC