When it comes to betting college baseball, my approach for several years has been to bet undervalued underdogs and short favorites, then pair heavier favorites together in two- or three-team moneyline parlays.
It moves your break-even quite a bit, but the disparity in pitching staffs and overall team talent makes this an attainable winning clip.
I came through with a moneyline parlay and an underdog to bet for Friday's slate, so let's dive into my NCAA baseball predictions and college baseball parlays for Friday, March 6.
UNC + Wake Forest + TCU ML Parlay (+151)
- North Carolina vs. Virginia (4 p.m. ET · ACC Network Extra)
- Wake Forest vs. Stanford (6 p.m. ET · ACC Network Extra)
- TCU vs. Tulane (7 p.m. ET · ESPN+)
Wake Forest and TCU take on beatable opponents in Stanford and Tulane, respectively, while North Carolina opens ACC play against a tough foe in Virginia.
Surveying several respected ratings (RPI, DSR, ELO and Massey), UNC ranks 10th nationally.
Ace Jason DeCaro gets his fourth start on the mound in this one. DeCaro held East Carolina and Indiana scoreless before letting his last start get in the way of his 0.00 ERA with two earned runs against Le Moyne.
The 6-foot-5 righty takes on Henry Zatkowski, who struggled to keep runners off bases his first three starts.
When it comes to Stanford, the Cardinal have played a quality schedule. However, they dropped last weekend’s series against Fresno State and nearly lost all three games; this appears to be a down year for the Cardinal.
Stanford simply hasn’t pieced together a complete game all season. On the other side, Wake Forest dropped its opener in Puerto Rico and hasn’t lost since.
On the TCU vs. Tulane front, robust storms may impact or delay tonight's opener.
Make sure to browse the house rules of your sportsbook of choice, but should this game get canceled or moved, that may void this leg and bring our two-team moneyline parlay to -120.
Pick: UNC + Wake Forest + TCU ML Parlay (+151)
NCAA Baseball Underdog Pick
Jacksonville ML +116 vs. UNC Wilmington
6 p.m. ET · ESPN+
I’d like to introduce you to Alex Walsh. Walsh is a 6-foot-4 senior lefty who has allowed one run and walked just five batters in his first three starts. He has compiled a 3-0 record in 15 1/3 innings of work.
UNC Wilmington has been a postseason team recently, but this year’s squad has been inconsistent to start.
Against quality opponents, the Seahawks failed to generate runs, plating no more than five against Maryland, Duke, UConn or East Carolina. A large portion of their production came against Merrimack, Fordham and Charleston Southern.
Jacksonville is quietly a quality team with a dominant Friday night starter capable of making the tournament. I’ll continue to back the Dolphins until the market is on board.
Pick: Jacksonville ML +116
