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College Football Moneyline Underdogs: Our Week 10 Picks for UCF vs Baylor, Colorado vs Arizona

College Football Moneyline Underdogs: Our Week 10 Picks for UCF vs Baylor, Colorado vs Arizona article feature image
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Imagn Images. Pictured: UCF QB Tayven Jackson (left) and Colorado QB Kaidon Salter (right).

College football Week 10 has arrived. That means it's time to find some value on a couple of underdogs for Saturday's slate.

For the eighth straight season on our college football betting podcast, Big Bets on Campus, Collin Wilson and Stuckey pick their two favorite moneyline underdogs for each week's slate.

For Week 10 of the season, they're rolling with two underdogs in the Big 12.

If you're feeling lucky, a parlay of both pups pays out north of 5-1 at the time of writing.

Let's dive into our college football moneyline underdogs for Week 10.

  • 2018-24: 85-129, +15.91 Units
  • 2025: 6-12, -3.7 Units
  • Overall: 91-141, +12.21 Units

College Football Moneyline Underdogs

Stuckey: UCF +140 vs. Baylor

UCF Logo
Saturday, Nov. 1
12 p.m. ET
ESPNU
Baylor Logo
UCF Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3.5
-110
59.5
-110o / -110u
+140
Baylor Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3.5
-110
59.5
-110o / -110u
-165
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo

I’m leaning toward UCF in this one.

I have to give kudos to defensive coordinator Alex Grinch because the defense has actually stepped up this year. Grinch's defenses have been atrocious at some of his past stops, but that's surprisingly not the case with this UCF unit.

Meanwhile, Baylor looks like it might be done. It feels like the Bears just quit. They came into this season with higher expectations, but coming out flat last week really hurt their momentum.

The Bears got walloped by Cincinnati, 41-20, last week, and went into halftime down 24-6.

The defense is bad, and there doesn't appear to be a lot of fight left.

On the UCF side, Tayven Jackson is set to start under center, and there’s a chance it'll get its left tackle back.

The defense has been solid, whereas Baylor’s certainly hasn’t been. Mentally, I’m not sure where the Bears are at right now. All signs point to UCF being worth the risk.


Collin Wilson: Colorado ML +165 vs. Arizona

Arizona Logo
Saturday, Nov. 1
7 p.m. ET
FS1
Colorado Logo
Arizona Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4
-110
52.5
-110o / -110u
-200
Colorado Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4
-110
52.5
-110o / -110u
+165
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo

After giving up 53 points to Utah last week, I think head coach Deion Sanders lit a fire under defensive coordinator Robert Livingston’s ass.

The defense looked flat, especially after just holding Iowa State to 17 points the game before. It’s clear that something has to change.

Arizona has been pretty awful on the road, too, dropping two away games with its other loss coming to BYU at home in double overtime.

I think this number should be closer to a pick. Simply put, Colorado is being undervalued here. The Buffs might have looked shaky, but with Deion in charge, you just have to trust that one week was enough to shake things up.

Now, it's worth mentioning that Arizona is coming off a bye week, but Colorado still has some key matchup advantages it can exploit, especially against a Wildcats team that's hitting the road.

I’m rolling with Colorado on this one.

Playbook
Author Profile
About the Author

Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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