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Wake Forest vs. Boston College Odds & Picks: Can Eagles Win Outright?

Wake Forest vs. Boston College Odds & Picks: Can Eagles Win Outright? article feature image
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Cody Glenn/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaden Williams (80) of the Boston College Eagles.

  • Wake Forest enters its matchup against Boston College as -5.5 favorites, according to updated odds.
  • It'll be an interesting quarterback battle on Saturday as Sam Hartman takes on Phil Jurkovec.
  • Check out Kyle Remillard's full betting preview and top bet for the game below.

Wake Forest vs. Boston College Odds

Saturday, Nov. 27
12 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Wake Forest Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-5.5
-110
64
-110o / -110u
-210
Boston College Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+5.5
-110
64
-110o / -110u
+175
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

Wake Forest and Boston College both look to bounce back off a loss last week. Although each loss counts the same, not all of them look the same.

Wake Forest proved once again that its defense is unable to stop anyone. It allowed 48-points to the Tigers and nearly 550 yards of total offense. Clemson, which ranks 117th in Passing Success Rate, averaged 10.5 yards per pass attempt.

Boston College lost its first game this season with quarterback Phil Jurkovec under center last week to Florida State.

The Eagles trailed by 16 points in the first half but clawed their way back to make it a three-point game in the fourth. They were couldn’t complete the comeback but showed a lot of grit in the loss.

Wake Forest controls its own destiny and a victory over Boston College will set them up for a date with Pittsburgh in the ACC Championship.

Boston College is more than capable of playing spoiler in this spot, especially with Jurkovec back on the field.


Wake Forest Demon Deacons

The Wake Forest offense has been electric all season and is the only reason the program is favored to win the Atlantic Division.

The Demon Deacons own the third-ranked scoring offense in the country, averaging 43.3 points and nearly 500 yards of total offense per game.

The main source of the Wake Forest offense comes from the arm of Sam Hartman, who averages over 315 passing yards per game. Hartman has thrown 31 touchdown passes while averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt.

The Demon Deacons run a slow mesh RPO offensive scheme that allows Hartman to hand it off or the option to keep it and throw it. Wake uses a true running back committee that has seen three backs rush for 70 or more yards this season.

A.T. Perry and Jaquarii Roberson are his go-to receivers that have combined for 1,984 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns on the season.

The Boston College defense has been solid against opposing passing attacks, allowing 6.8 yards per attempt which ranks 33rd in the country. The Eagles defense ranks 26th in Passing Success Rate and 12th in coverage.

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Boston College Eagles

Boston College lost its first game of the season last week with Jurkovec at quarterback after starting 4-0.

Jurkovec is averaging 10.5 yards per pass attempt this season and has thrown in six touchdowns. When he is on the field, the Boston College offense is dynamic — not only because of his arm but because of his legs as well.

Jurkovec is racking up 6.6 yards per carry while averaging nearly eight scrambles per game. He’s punched in five touchdowns and averaging nearly 51 yards per game.

The Eagles’ workhorse running back, Patrick Garwo, has been a machine for the Boston College offense, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. He’s slated to eclipse the 1,000-yard rushing mark in this matchup.

Both are poised to have monster games as they will own a significant edge against a nonexistent Wake Forest front.

The Wake Forest defense has allowed 5.2 yards per carry against FBS competition, which ranks 109th nationally. The group ranks 121st in Rushing Success Rate and 124th in Defensive Line Yards.

The Demon Deacons have allowed their opponents to rush for over 300 yards four times in the last six games, giving up 19 rushing touchdowns in that span.

The Wake Forest defense has allowed 31 points per game this season and has consistently allowed big plays while struggling to create Havoc.

Boston College will undoubtedly find success with the rushing attack, which will set up big opportunities for Jurkovec and the passing attack.


Wake Forest vs. Boston College Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Wake Forest and Boston College match up statistically:

Wake Forest Offense vs. Boston College Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 59 71
Line Yards 54 81
Pass Success 10 28
Pass Blocking** 102 120
Big Play 74 84
Havoc 9 93
Finishing Drives 4 10
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Boston College Offense vs. Wake Forest Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 83 121
Line Yards 113 124
Pass Success 73 98
Pass Blocking** 21 75
Big Play 78 119
Havoc 90 58
Finishing Drives 92 101
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 71 3
Coverage 37 12
Middle 8 30 79
SP+ Special Teams 19 43
Plays per Minute 4 80
Rush Rate 52.% (88) 60.6% (24)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Wake Forest vs. Boston College Betting Pick

This is a tough matchup for Wake Forest to try to close out the ACC Atlantic Division.

The Wake Forest defense is one of the worst in the nation in stopping the run and has allowed over 220 rushing yards per game. Boston College owns a rush rate of 60% and averages 40 rushes for 4.1 yards per carry. The Deacons defense has also allowed 40 or more points in four of its last five games.

The Wake Forest offense has seen 66% of its total yards come from the arm of Hartman. But the Boston College defense has been strong against the pass, allowing an average of 125 passing yards over its last five games.

Wake has lost two of its last three games, and Hartman has accounted for six interceptions in those three games.

This is a bad matchup for Wake Forest, which will be in store for a physical matchup in the cold Boston weather. The ACC Atlantic Division will be up for grabs after Boston College defeats Wake Forest at home.

Pick: Boston College +4.5 (Play to +3)

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