Sharp Bettors Finding Value in Ugly College Football Week 6 Matchup
Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: UTSA Roadrunners head coach Frank Wilson
- College football Week 6 odds and public betting data are now available.
- We examine how sharps are quietly betting one of the smallest college football Week 6 matchups.
Last week, professionals made a point to get down early on the under for the South Alabama vs. UL Monroe college football matchup, a game that easily landed below the closing total.
At the time, South Alabama vs. UL Monroe was the least bet game of the week, hammering home the idea that sharps couldn’t care less about the size or importance of a certain game from a national perspective — value is all that matters.
Odds as of Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
While the mainstream sports media dissects Clemon’s close call with North Carolina and overanalyzes what the future holds for Jim Harbaugh, wiseguys are once again going to the small-matchup well, quietly pouncing on a soft opener that the large majority of bettors have completely ignored.
There are only two games that have attracted fewer betting tickets than Saturday’s UTSA vs. UTEP matchup (8 p.m. ET, ESPN+), but that hasn’t prevented the pros from jumping all over this point spread.
UTSA opened as a 2-point road favorite for this game, but the line has flipped to UTEP -1.5 at PointsBet, with some books already up to -2.5.
Because recreational bettors have zero interest in betting this matchup, we can be fairly certain that smart money is to blame.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and report sharp betting action in real-time, have triggered two Steam Moves on UTEP, marking two unique instances of market-moving money suddenly hitting the Miners.
In response, oddsmakers have had no choice but to flip them from dogs to short favorites.
It will now be important to monitor whether this line continues its march toward -3, and if it reaches that key number, whether sharp UTSA buyback will follow.