Colorado State vs. New Mexico Betting Odds, Picks: Which Team Will Be Less Bad?
Matt Cashore, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Jay Griffin IV
Colorado State at New Mexico Betting Odds
- Spread: Colorado State -3.5
- Over/Under: 66.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
Colorado State at New Mexico Line Movement
While many bettors are probably looking past this game, the line movement suggests that there’s still been enough action to keep oddsmakers on their toes.
After opening this game at around Colorado State -4, sportsbooks dropped this line to an even field goal on Wednesday. It has since ticked back up to -3.5 behind 57% of the bets.
The total has seen some up-and-down — or more accurately, down-and-up — action since opening. After an initial fall from 66.5 down to 65, 40% of bettors accounting for 65% of money have brought this number right back up to its opener. — Danny Donahue
All market information current as of 10:45 p.m. ET.
Collin Wilson: How to Play What Should Be an Ugly Game
There’s nothing quite like betting on two teams with a combined record of 1-7.
A look at the advanced stats for both of these teams tells you everything you need to know.
Colorado State and New Mexico rank 127th and 128th, respectively, in turnover margin combining for -15 in net turnovers over the past month. The Lobos sit 127th in red zone scoring percentage, 105th in punt return yards and 103rd in penalty yards.
The Rams aren’t much better, ranking dead last in opponent kickoff return yards, 105th in punt return yards and 112th in opponent red zone scoring percentage.
The one thing that Colorado State does have going for it is the passing game, led by quarterback Patrick O’Brien. The junior took over signal-calling duties after the Arkansas game and has inspired an explosive passing attack, even ranking inside the top-10 in the number of passes over 40 yards.
That’s a recipe for success against New Mexico, which ranks 129th in preventing passes over 20 yards.
While both teams have plenty of deficiencies, New Mexico’s horrendous numbers against the pass should make the difference. The Action Network Projections make this spread Colorado State -7, so there’s value on the Rams going against a team that has covered just once in its last 10 home games.
The Under is also worth a look as both of these teams struggle with turnovers, finishing drives and on special teams. Our projections call for this Over/Under to be at 54.5.
The Pick: Colorado State -3, Under 66.5