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Week 9 College Football Predictions, Havoc Rankings: Our Top Pick for Houston vs. Arizona State

Week 9 College Football Predictions, Havoc Rankings: Our Top Pick for Houston vs. Arizona State article feature image
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Patrick Breen/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images. Pictured: Arizona State QB Sam Leavitt.

Week 8 could not have been more chaotic, from a pick-six in Tennessee vs. Alabama to a game-winning safety for Virginia over Washington State.

The chaos that is college football can be summed up with the term "Havoc" — a measurement of a team’s volatility on both sides of the ball. Indiana continues to lead the nation in Defensive Havoc, while Texas A&M has become the safest offense in FBS.

Havoc is the collection of stats that can derail offensive momentum on the defensive side of the ball. The summation includes tackles for loss, pass breakups, forced fumbles, interceptions and sacks.

Havoc allowed, meanwhile, is a stat used to quantify an offense's ability to avoid chaos that creates a negative play. Offenses that are elite in Havoc allowed have a low number of fumbles, interceptions and tackles for loss.

Let's take a look at our Week 9 college football predictions for Houston vs. Arizona State and Week 9 Havoc Rankings for the upcoming week.


College Football Pick, Havoc Rankings for Week 9


Houston vs. Arizona State Odds, Pick

Houston Logo
Saturday, Oct. 25
8 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Arizona State Logo
Houston Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-110
47
-110o / -110u
+245
Arizona State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
-110
47
-110o / -110u
-305
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo

Defensive Havoc: Arizona State 10th · Houston 37th
Havoc Allowed: Arizona State 39th  · Houston 59th

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham pulled off one of the biggest surprises in Week 8, beating the undefeated Texas Tech Red Raiders in a Big 12 battle.

Arizona State is looking to return to the Big 12 Championship with a potential College Football Playoff run thanks to a healthy quarterback in Sam Leavitt, who threw for over 300 yards in the upset.

The Sun Devils have explosive playmakers in wide receiver Jordyn Tyson and running back Raleek Brown, but the defense is the reason this team finds itself in contention for a conference title.

Defensive coordinator Brian Ward's group boasts a national rank of 10th in Defensive Havoc.

The Sun Devils have high marks in tackles for loss and fumbles recovered, but the work in coverage has turned the defense into one of the best in the nation. Arizona State ranks sixth nationally in passes defensed, a combination of interceptions and pass breakups.

IMG

Houston has had a rough go in the 2025 season under head coach Willie Fritz, particularly on the offensive side of the ball.

The Cougars rank 59th in Havoc allowed but are near dead last in pass blocking. In fact, quarterback Connor Weigman has been pressured 77 times in 193 dropbacks.

Houston's analytics are poor on both offense and defense, which is a bit of a surprise considering the Cougars rank ninth in strength of schedule.

Action Network's betting power ratings call for Arizona State to be favored by 11, giving the current market value on a rising Big 12 home team.

Pick: Arizona State -8 or Better

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Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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