Thursday's MLB slate features two very different storylines on Novig, the peer-to-peer exchange where traders take positions on game outcomes instead of placing traditional bets. St. Louis and Cincinnati close out a five-game set with wild card implications, while Houston tries to keep rolling at home against a last-place Angels club.
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Cardinals vs Reds Prediction: St. Louis at Cincinnati Best MLB Player Props Today
St. Louis (65-63) and Cincinnati (61-66) play the finale of their five-game series Thursday afternoon at Great American Ball Park, and the Cardinals vs Reds prediction market reflects a genuinely tight National League Central rivalry game. Cincinnati took Wednesday's contest 5-4 on a Sal Stewart three-run homer, and St. Louis sits three games back of the San Diego Padres in the NL wild card race, so both sides have real stakes riding on the matinee finish.
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction: Money Line, Spread and Total
- Money Line: St. Louis is trading at 51.0% implied probability, with Cincinnati just behind at 49.5%, effectively a coin-flip favorite despite the Cardinals' road-heavy record.
- Spread (STL -1.5 / CIN +1.5): St. Louis covering -1.5 sits at 40.5%, while Cincinnati taking +1.5 trades at 60.0%.
- Spread (STL +1.5 / CIN -1.5): St. Louis at +1.5 is priced at 68.0%, with Cincinnati at -1.5 down at 32.5%.
- Total (8.5): Over 8.5 runs is trading at 55.0%, Under 8.5 at 46.0%, a modest lean toward a slightly higher-scoring finale than the series has produced most nights.
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Cardinals vs Reds Prediction: Home Run Props
- Alec Burleson (Over 0.5: 24.0%, Under 0.5: 79.5%): Burleson is the Cardinals' steadiest bat outside Jordan Walker this season, but a single-homer prop this cheap reflects how rarely he goes deep on a given afternoon.
- Elly De La Cruz (Over 0.5: 20.5%, Under 0.5: 84.0%): De La Cruz's power-speed combo keeps him near the top of the Reds' home run board even in a soft individual matchup number.
- Jordan Walker (Over 0.5: 20.0%, Under 0.5: 85.0%): Walker just launched his 25th homer of the season in Wednesday's ninth inning, and the market still prices any single game as a long shot given how rare multi-homer stretches are.
- JJ Bleday (Over 0.5: 20.0%, Under 0.5: 83.0%): Bleday's number sits in line with the rest of the Cincinnati order.
- Joshua Baez (Over 0.5: 19.0%, Under 0.5: 84.0%): Baez rounds out the Cardinals' outfield options at a modest price.
- Eugenio Suarez (Over 0.5: 19.0%, Under 0.5: 83.0%): Suarez's veteran power still earns him a spot on the board, priced similarly to the rest of the Reds' lineup.
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction: Hits Props
Some contracts on this board only have one side actively priced, so the entries below without a listed "Under" price reflect a single quoted figure rather than a missing number.
- Alec Burleson (Over 1.5: 36.0%, Under 1.5: 72.5%): Burleson's .289 average this season makes multi-hit games a realistic outcome, and the 1.5 line reflects that.
- Ivan Herrera (Over 0.5: 74.0%): Herrera's price implies traders expect a hit is more likely than not for the Cardinals' catcher.
- Jordan Walker (Over 0.5: 72.0%, Under 0.5: 50.0%): With Walker riding a hot power stretch, the market gives him solid odds of reaching base on a hit alone.
- Sal Stewart (Over 0.5: 72.0%, Under 0.5: 33.5%): Stewart's Wednesday heroics keep his hit prop priced as a strong lean after his three-run blast.
- Elly De La Cruz (Over 0.5: 70.0%, Under 0.5: 35.8%): De La Cruz remains one of the Reds' most reliable everyday bats in this spot.
- JJ Wetherholt (Over 0.5: 69.0%, Under 0.5: 37.5%): The Rookie of the Year candidate's 16 homers and 46 RBIs this season back up a solid hit price.
- Joshua Baez (Over 0.5: 67.0%, Under 0.5: 41.5%): Baez closes out the Cardinals side of the hits board.
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction: Strikeouts Thrown
- Michael McGreevy (Over 4.5: 47.5%, Under 4.5: 53.0%): McGreevy carries a 5-9 record and 3.48 ERA into the start, and the near-even split reflects a pitcher who works efficiently rather than piling up whiffs.
- Brady Singer (Over 4.5: 46.5%, Under 4.5: 54.0%): Singer enters at 5-11 with a 4.66 ERA, and the market gives him a similarly close-to-even shot at clearing the 4.5 strikeout mark.
Angels vs Astros Prediction: Los Angeles at Houston Best MLB Player Props Today
Houston (64-63) sits atop the AL West and hosts a Los Angeles Angels club that has fallen to 50-77 on the season, and the Angels vs Astros prediction market at Daikin Park leans heavily toward the home side. Yordan Alvarez continues to anchor Houston's offense, and the gap between these two rosters shows up clearly across every category on the board.
Angels vs Astros Prediction: Money Line, Spread and Total
- Money Line: Houston is trading at 63.0% implied probability, with Los Angeles at 37.5%, a lopsided number given the standings gap between a first-place club and a fourth-place club.
- Spread (LAA +1.5 / HOU -1.5): The Angels covering +1.5 sit at 56.0%, while the Astros at -1.5 trade at 45.0%.
- Spread (LAA +2.5 / HOU -2.5): Los Angeles at +2.5 is priced at 66.5%, with Houston at -2.5 down at 34.5%.
- Total (8.5): Over 8.5 runs sits at 48.5%, Under 8.5 at 52.0%, a slight lean toward a lower-scoring game than the series has trended.
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Angels vs Astros Prediction: Home Run Props
- Yordan Alvarez (Over 0.5: 28.0%, Under 0.5: 76.5%): Alvarez's number is the highest on either roster, unsurprising given he remains the most feared power bat in this matchup.
- Mike Trout (Over 0.5: 20.5%, Under 0.5: 84.5%): Trout still carries the Angels' best individual home run price even in a lineup that has struggled all season.
- Zach Neto (Over 0.5: 18.5%, Under 0.5: 89.0%): Neto's number reflects a solid everyday role without elite power output.
- Christian Walker (Over 0.5: 17.5%, Under 0.5: 87.0%): Walker's price sits in the middle of the Astros' order.
- Isaac Paredes (Over 0.5: 16.5%, Under 0.5: 89.5%): Paredes rounds out a deep Houston lineup at a modest price.
- Vaughn Grissom (Over 0.5: 16.0%, Under 0.5: 89.5%): Grissom's number is in line with the rest of the Angels' bottom-of-the-order bats.
- Daulton Varsho (Over 0.5: 16.0%, Under 0.5: 88.5%): Varsho closes out the Angels' side of the home run board.
- Jeremy Pena (Over 0.5: 15.5%, Under 0.5: 90.0%): Pena's price is the lowest of the group, consistent with a contact-first profile rather than a true power threat.
Angels vs Astros Prediction: Hits Props
As with the earlier game, a handful of contracts on this board only carry an active price on one side, so those rows below show a single figure rather than a missing number.
- Yordan Alvarez (Over 0.5: 74.5%): Alvarez's on-base ability makes a hit the expected outcome most nights.
- Jeremy Pena (Over 0.5: 74.0%): Pena's contact skills give him a strong price here despite the modest home run number above.
- Nolan Schanuel (Over 0.5: 69.0%, Under 0.5: 41.0%): Schanuel's hit prop remains one of the more reliable Angels options.
- Jose Altuve (Over 0.5: 68.5%, Under 0.5: 38.0%): Altuve's steady bat-to-ball skills keep him near the top of the Houston hits board.
- Yainer Diaz (Over 0.5: 68.5%, Under 0.5: 41.0%): Diaz's number reflects his everyday role behind the plate for the division leaders.
- Wade Meckler (Over 0.5: 67.0%, Under 0.5: 42.5%): Meckler is priced similarly to the rest of Houston's contact-oriented bats.
- Isaac Paredes (Over 0.5: 66.0%, Under 0.5: 42.5%): Paredes closes out a deep Astros hits board.
- Cam Smith (Over 0.5: 64.5%, Under 0.5: 44.5%): Smith rounds out the group at the lowest price of the Houston regulars listed.
Angels vs Astros Prediction: Strikeouts Thrown
- Peter Lambert (Over 5.5: 50.0%, Under 5.5: 51.5%): Lambert's number is a virtual coin flip, typical of a starter who mixes contact outs with the occasional swing-and-miss.
- Grayson Rodriguez (Over 4.5: 52.0%, Under 4.5: 49.0%): Rodriguez draws a similarly even split, with the market giving him a slight edge to clear the 4.5 mark.
Both boards go well beyond what's covered here, with additional player prop categories and live inning markets available on Novig for traders who want more granular positions on either game.
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Cardinals vs Reds Prediction and Angels vs Astros Prediction: Final Thoughts
The two games on Thursday's board sit at opposite ends of the competitive spectrum. St. Louis and Cincinnati are playing a near coin-flip finale with wild card stakes attached, while Houston looks like the far more likely winner against a struggling Angels club. Both boards give traders a clear read on how the market is pricing that gap.
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Novig Promo Code FAQs
What is the current Novig promo code?
The current Novig promo code is ACTION. Enter it when creating an account to unlock the platform's current new-user offer.
Who is favored in the Cardinals vs Reds prediction market?
St. Louis is a slight favorite on the money line, trading right around 51.0% implied probability against Cincinnati's 49.5%, making this one of the closer main markets on the board.
Who is favored in the Angels vs Astros prediction market?
Houston is the clear favorite, trading at 63.0% implied probability on the money line against a Los Angeles club that has struggled to a 50-77 record this season.
What is the most notable player prop on either board?
Yordan Alvarez carries the highest home run price on either board at 28.0%, reflecting his standing as the most dangerous power bat in Thursday's slate.
How do Novig's event contracts work?
Novig lets traders buy or sell contracts tied to a specific game outcome, such as a team winning or a player recording a hit. Contract prices move in real time as a percentage that reflects the market's current implied probability of that outcome occurring, and each contract resolves based on the official final result of the game.
How do I use the Novig promo code?
Sign up for a Novig account, enter the promo code ACTION during registration, and complete the platform's verification steps to unlock the current new-user offer.
When do these contracts resolve?
Main market contracts resolve at the conclusion of each respective game, while player prop contracts resolve based on that player's official final statistics for the game.
Are there more games available on Novig beyond these two?
Yes. Novig lists a full slate of MLB markets each day, with additional games, prop categories, and live in-game markets beyond the two covered here.
Why do some player props only show one price?
Certain prop contracts only have one side actively traded at a given moment, so the board displays a single quoted price rather than two-sided pricing until more volume comes in on the other side.
