Chargers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 1, 2024
Chargers at Falcons
6:00 pm • CBSChargers at Falcons Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chargers 2-0 | +2.5 | -1-105 | o47-108 | -112 |
 Falcons 0-1 | u47.5 | +1-115 | u47-110 | -108 |
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta
Chargers vs. Falcons Expert Picks
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson 25+ Receiving Yards Yes (Live)-150
0.67u
Sweaty VIP CASH✅
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
ATL o17.5 Team Total (Live)-120
0.5u
More live value
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 194-184-3 (+16.0u)
ATL +106 (Live)
3u
👸
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 33-47-3 (+19.4u)
Over 43.5 (Live)-113
0.85u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 12-2-0 (+9.7u)
ATL +1.5-110
1.1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 54-69-0 (-3.8u)
ATL +1-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
ATL o23.5 Team Total-105
1u
Buying some VVS with Kirk after this one
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1.5u
K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-115
1.73u
ATL o23.5 Team Total-108
2.16u
The Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240
1u
@GDAWG5000
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
LAC -1-108
0.46u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 49-42-3 (+3.3u)
LAC -120
1u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +1-111
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LAC -1-108
0.46u
DK
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +1-110
1u
@gogo_dino Best Bet
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 16-43-0 (+11.0u)
ATL +1-105
1.05u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 77-62-4 (+3.3u)
LAC -112
0.89u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-105
1u
Zero in back to back games
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson 100+ Rushing Yards Yes+250
1.25u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
ATL +100
2u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +1-112
1.12u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 194-184-3 (+16.0u)
ATL +100
1u
👸
T.Allgeier o26.5 Rush Yds-125
1u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+5.3u)
LAC -1-108
1u
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.2u)
L.McConkey o64.5 Rec Yds-113
0.88u
Ladd McConkey (LAC) ⬆️ 64.5 Receiving Yards (-113 @ FanDuel)
- **McConkey’s Role:**
- Leads the team with a 21.6% target share as a rookie.
- Over the last two games, McConkey has surpassed 80 yards in both, with 6 receptions on 6 and 9 targets.
- In his last five games:
- 50+ yards in all 5.
- 5+ receptions in 4.
- Averaging 6 targets per game in this stretch.
- With unreliable options like Quentin Johnston (catch rate < 55%, drop rate ~10%) and Josh Palmer (12.5% target share), McConkey remains Herbert’s most consistent and trusted target.
- **Matchup Breakdown:**
- Atlanta’s Defensive Weaknesses:
- Falcons rank 26th in pressure rate, giving Justin Herbert time in the pocket to find his top target.
- McConkey primarily operates out of the slot (71.8% slot snaps), where Atlanta struggles the most.
- Atlanta allows the 3rd highest catchable target rate (85.2%) to slot receivers.
- 2nd lowest drop rate (1.6%), meaning receivers have clean opportunities to secure passes.
- 6th highest catch rate (74.6%) to slot receivers.
- **Key Matchup vs. Dee Alford:**
- McConkey will likely see plenty of Atlanta slot cornerback Dee Alford, who has been a consistent liability:
- Coverage grade of 62.8 (poor).
- Allowed the most targets and receptions and 3rd most receiving yards on the Falcons' defense (despite missing a game).
**Game Environment:**
Atlanta’s inability to generate pressure plays perfectly into Herbert and McConkey’s strengths. With McConkey dominating targets and Atlanta’s defensive vulnerabilities in the slot, this game sets up as another strong performance for the rookie.
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 16-43-0 (+11.0u)
Under 23.5 (2H)-105
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 46-48-1 (-2.8u)
J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
T.Allgeier o24.5 Rush Yds-113
1.13u
J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120
1u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 10-8-1 (+1.2u)
D.Mooney 50+ Receiving Yards Yes-115
1u
Bet365
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270
1u
All-time buy-low spot after the Ravens debacle. Leads NFL in TDs vs Zone defense (6) and leads Chargers in target share vs man defenses. Falcons play zone at top3 rate with 15TDs allowed to WRs, which is bottom-3 in NFL.
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
J.Herbert o20.5 Pass Comp-120
1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +2-110
0.6u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-52-0 (-13.5u)
ATL +114
1u
Have the Falcons favored here because they're at home off a bye while the Chargers are on a short week after playing Monday. Chargers are the better team -- external factors put me on the Falcons.
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +2.5-110
1.1u
Stuckey 2
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LAC -2-110
1u
Foxhole
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Chargers vs. Falcons Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Chargers vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Falcons are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Falcons' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' 9 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
Chargers vs. Falcons Odds Comparison
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Chargers at Falcons Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Chargers 2-0 | o23.5-110 | u23.5-110 |
Falcons 0-1 | o23.5-108 | u23.5-112 |