Chargers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 1, 2024

Chargers at Falcons

6:00 pm • CBS
17 - 13

Chargers at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chargers
8-4
+2.5
-1-105
o47-108
-112
Falcons
6-6
u47.5
+1-115
u47-110
-108
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
December 01, 2024
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta
Chargers vs. Falcons Expert Picks
JB Bets
JB Bets
1d ago
Last 30d: 47-27-0 (+14.0u)
B.Robinson 25+ Receiving Yards Yes (Live)-150
0.67u
Sweaty VIP CASH✅
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
1d ago
Last 30d: 123-108-1 (+7.9u)
ATL o17.5 Team Total (Live)-120
0.5u
More live value
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
1d ago
Last 30d: 161-175-9 (+10.7u)
ATL +106 (Live)
3u
👸
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
1d ago
Last 30d: 85-106-7 (-29.4u)
Over 43.5 (Live)-113
0.85u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
2d ago
Last 30d: 124-124-2 (+4.1u)
ATL +1-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
2d ago
Last 30d: 123-108-1 (+7.9u)
ATL o23.5 Team Total-105
1u
Buying some VVS with Kirk after this one
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
2d ago
Last 30d: 168-224-4 (-56.5u)
ATL o23.5 Team Total-108
2.16u
D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1.5u
K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-115
1.73u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
2d ago
Last 30d: 6-42-0 (-12.0u)
Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240
1u
@GDAWG5000
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
2d ago
Last 30d: 23-33-1 (-11.7u)
LAC -1-108
0.46u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
2d ago
Last 30d: 83-84-2 (-9.4u)
LAC -120
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
2d ago
Last 30d: 31-37-2 (-8.6u)
ATL +1-111
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
2d ago
Last 30d: 15-20-0 (-3.2u)
LAC -1-108
0.46u
DK
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
2d ago
Last 30d: 62-120-0 (+3.3u)
ATL +1-105
1.05u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
2d ago
Last 30d: 88-67-1 (+8.9u)
LAC -112
0.89u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
2d ago
Last 30d: 123-108-1 (+7.9u)
K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-105
1u
Zero in back to back games
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
2d ago
Last 30d: 168-224-4 (-56.5u)
ATL +100
2u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
2d ago
Last 30d: 161-175-9 (+10.7u)
ATL +100
1u
👸
T.Allgeier o26.5 Rush Yds-125
1u
PvB Bets
PvB Bets
2d ago
Last 30d: 20-12-1 (+5.2u)
L.McConkey o64.5 Rec Yds-113
0.88u
Ladd McConkey (LAC) ⬆️ 64.5 Receiving Yards (-113 @ FanDuel) - **McConkey’s Role:** - Leads the team with a 21.6% target share as a rookie. - Over the last two games, McConkey has surpassed 80 yards in both, with 6 receptions on 6 and 9 targets. - In his last five games: - 50+ yards in all 5. - 5+ receptions in 4. - Averaging 6 targets per game in this stretch. - With unreliable options like Quentin Johnston (catch rate < 55%, drop rate ~10%) and Josh Palmer (12.5% target share), McConkey remains Herbert’s most consistent and trusted target. - **Matchup Breakdown:** - Atlanta’s Defensive Weaknesses: - Falcons rank 26th in pressure rate, giving Justin Herbert time in the pocket to find his top target. - McConkey primarily operates out of the slot (71.8% slot snaps), where Atlanta struggles the most. - Atlanta allows the 3rd highest catchable target rate (85.2%) to slot receivers. - 2nd lowest drop rate (1.6%), meaning receivers have clean opportunities to secure passes. - 6th highest catch rate (74.6%) to slot receivers. - **Key Matchup vs. Dee Alford:** - McConkey will likely see plenty of Atlanta slot cornerback Dee Alford, who has been a consistent liability: - Coverage grade of 62.8 (poor). - Allowed the most targets and receptions and 3rd most receiving yards on the Falcons' defense (despite missing a game). **Game Environment:** Atlanta’s inability to generate pressure plays perfectly into Herbert and McConkey’s strengths. With McConkey dominating targets and Atlanta’s defensive vulnerabilities in the slot, this game sets up as another strong performance for the rookie.
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
2d ago
Last 30d: 62-120-0 (+3.3u)
Under 23.5 (2H)-105
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
2d ago
Last 30d: 31-13-1 (+9.3u)
J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
2d ago
Last 30d: 35-34-0 (-5.0u)
T.Allgeier o24.5 Rush Yds-113
1.13u
J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
3d ago
Last 30d: 85-96-2 (+29.3u)
D.Mooney 50+ Receiving Yards Yes-115
1u
Bet365
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
3d ago
Last 30d: 36-85-1 (-9.7u)
Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270
1u
All-time buy-low spot after the Ravens debacle. Leads NFL in TDs vs Zone defense (6) and leads Chargers in target share vs man defenses. Falcons play zone at top3 rate with 15TDs allowed to WRs, which is bottom-3 in NFL.
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
5d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Herbert o20.5 Pass Comp-120
1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
5d ago
Last 30d: 67-58-0 (+2.3u)
ATL +2-110
0.6u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
6d ago
Last 30d: 13-23-0 (+3.7u)
ATL +114
1u
Have the Falcons favored here because they're at home off a bye while the Chargers are on a short week after playing Monday. Chargers are the better team -- external factors put me on the Falcons.
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
6d ago
Last 30d: 14-16-0 (-3.6u)
ATL +2.5-110
1.1u
Stuckey 2
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
6d ago
Last 30d: 9-11-0 (-3.2u)
LAC -2-110
1u
Foxhole

Chargers vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

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Chargers vs. Falcons Props

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Chargers vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

60%

Bets%

40%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
5-72-53-24-41-3
Chargers
8-3-14-1-14-28-10-2-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Falcons
4-82-52-34-40-4
Chargers
4-83-31-53-61-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
6-6N/AN/A5-31-3
Chargers
8-4N/AN/A8-10-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 17th@DENL 6-38+2 LU 44.5DEN +112
Nov 10th@NOL 17-20-3.5 LU 46.5NO -192
Nov 3rdDALW 27-21-3 WU 52ATL -168
Oct 27th@TBW 31-26-1.5 WO 47.5ATL -125
Oct 20thSEAL 14-34-3 LU 51.5SEA -157

Chargers vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Chargers Injuries

  • Bud Dupree
    OLB

    Dupree is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Denzel Perryman
    LB

    Perryman is out with groin

    Out

  • Hayden Hurst
    TE

    Hurst is out with hip

    Out

  • J.K. Dobbins
    RB

    Dobbins is out with knee

    Out

  • Alohi Gilman
    S

    Gilman is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Deane Leonard
    DB

    Leonard is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Daiyan Henley
    LB

    Henley is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Ladd McConkey
    WR

    McConkey is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Cam Hart
    CB

    Hart is out with ankle

    Out

  • Brenden Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with shoulder

    Out

Falcons Injuries

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is out with neck

    Out

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Ruke Orhorhoro
    DT

    Orhorhoro is out with ankle

    Out

  • Jase McClellan
    RB

    McClellan is out with knee

    Out

Team Stats
187
Total Yards
350
46
Total Plays
77
4.1
Yards Per Play
4.5
150
YDS
245
17/24
Comps/Atts
24/39
4.517
YPA
5.85
0/0
TDs/INTs
0/4
5/19
Sacks/Yards
1/11
56
Rush Yards
116
17
Attempts
37
3.294
YPC
3.135
0
TDs
1
1
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
4

Efficiency

0/2 0%
Redzone
1/4 25%
3/11 0%
3rd Down
3/14 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
2/4 0%

First Downs

10
Total
24
5
Pass
13
5
Rush
7
0
Penalty
4
7/33
Penalties/Yards
2/10
24:05
Possession
35:55

Chargers vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

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Chargers at Falcons Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Chargers
8-4
o23.5-110
u23.5-110
Falcons
6-6
o23.5-108
u23.5-112