2019 NFL MVP Odds: Carr, Watson Among Popular Preseason Picks

Aug 18, 2019 11:30 AM EDT
Credit:

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Deshaun Watson.

  • Several players' 2019 MVP odds have changed since opening, including many young quarterbacks.
  • Deshaun Watson (60-1 to 20-1), Derek Carr (100-1 to 30-1) and Mitchell Trubisky (200-1 to 60-1) are among the popular choices so far.

NFL MVP odds for the 2019 season have been out at the Westgate for about a month now. Reigning winner Patrick Mahomes remains the +400 favorite, Leighton Vander Esch remains un-bet-able regardless of his price and nearly every ~25-year-old QB is getting some action.

With our first preseason game taking place this Thursday, we’re likely to see an uptick in MVP market activity. In fact, there’s already been a handful of movers in the past couple of days, with Deshaun Watson leading the way.

2019 NFL MVP Odds

The original group of quarterbacks at the top of the list, led by Mahomes at +400 and all of the usual veteran names behind him, has not seen much action at all. In fact, nobody who opened shorter than 20-1 has seen his odds improve.

There have been a number of players whose odds have moved substantially as we look further down the board, though. Those who hammered Deshaun Watson’s opening odds of 60-1 have gotten some great value, as he’s all the way down at 20-1. That could have been predicted.

What’s shocking, however, is the fact that Derek Carr has gone from 100-1 to 30-1. I imagine this is due to the Antonio Brown hype and I also imagine his odds won’t go past 30-1.

Jared Goff, Jimmy Garoppolo, Baker Mayfield, Lamar Jackson and Mitchell Trubisky have also all seen improvements, with Trubisky getting hammered from 200-1 to 60-1 right after opening. Though Trubisky’s odds are the butt of some jokes on Twitter these days, most folks probably wouldn’t mind owning a 200-1 MVP ticket for the QB of a team coming off 12 wins and a division title.

The first non-QB on the list, Alvin Kamara, just moved from 100-1 to 50-1 this week. Other non-QBs whose odds have improved:

  • Saquon Barkley: 80-1 to 60-1
  • Damien Williams: 200-1 to 100-1
  • James Conner: 200-1 to 100-1

Some late additions that were not originally on the board include Dwayne Haskins, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill, Joe Flacco and Eli Manning.

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