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Trey Lance Is BetMGM’s Biggest MVP Liability

Trey Lance Is BetMGM’s Biggest MVP Liability article feature image

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images. Pictured: Trey Lance.

49ers quarterback Trey Lance left a pretty solid impression on the MVP betting market in his first preseason cycle.

BetMGM is getting flooded with MVP wagers on the rookie out of North Dakota State, notably moving all the way from +30000 to +10000.

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Lance, the No. 3 overall pick this past spring, is battling for the starting quarterback job with Jimmy Garoppolo.

The dual-threat signal caller showed promise in his first three games, notching three touchdown passes through the air, including an 80-yard strike in his debut.

Lance is currently the biggest liability at BetMGM in this market. He’s also been a popular bet in the Rookie of the Year race throughout the month.

He moved from +1600 to +750 following his first preseason action and at the time, owned the highest ticket count at the shop. 

The 49ers are positive regression candidates after going 6-10 last year. Estimated Wins and Pythagorean Wins pegged the franchise for 8.6 and 7.6 victories, respectively.

If Lance gets the nod right away and the 49ers wreak havoc in a cutthroat NFC West, this is a brilliant grab.

TB12 for MVP?

The market is fond of the high-upside rookie, but it’s also wisely not sleeping on the GOAT, Tom Brady.

The Buccaneers quarterback and reigning Super Bowl MVP is down from +1600 to +1400 in the MVP field, attracting a four-figure bet at BetMGM this week.


One bettor @BetMGM wagered $5,000 on Tom Brady (+1400) to win NFL MVP

The bet would win $70,000

Will the 🐐 win his 4th NFL MVP?

— Action Network NFL (@ActionNetNFL) August 30, 2021

If winning matters to the voters, consider Brady a serious threat: The Bucs own the second-highest win total (12) and second-shortest Super Bowl odds (+600) in the entire league, trailing only the Chiefs in both.

Brady, who most recently won the award in 2017, represents far and away the largest handle at BetMGM (32.5%), behind fellow quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes (14.9%) and Josh Allen (10.9%).

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