Eagles vs Commanders NFL Week 3 Pick, Prediction

Eagles vs Commanders NFL Week 3 Pick, Prediction article feature image

Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Dallas Goedert.

  • The red-hot Eagles are favored this week in Washington against the Commanders.
  • Jalen Hurts has looked like an MVP candidate through two games this season.
  • Sam Farley explains which of Hurts' pass catchers he's betting in the player props market.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds

Sunday, Sept. 25
1 p.m. ET
Eagles Odds
-112o / -109u
Commanders Odds
-112o / -109u
Odds via BetRivers. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

We're into the third week of this new NFL season, and on Sunday we're served a brilliant divisional game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders.

This is about more than the NFC East; this is a revenge game for Carson Wentz, the former Eagles QB.

While Wentz will have his eyes on his former team, it's the Super Bowl that Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are hunting, and their 2-0 start has shown they're one of the best teams in the NFL.

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Eagles vs. Commanders Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Eagles and Commanders match up statistically:

Eagles vs. Commanders DVOA Breakdown
Overall DVOA528
Pass DVOA620
Rush DVOA331
Overall DVOA159
Pass DVOA144
Rush DVOA2729

Firstly, it has to be said: The Philadelphia Eagles don't look good through two weeks – they look exceptional. With an average 470.5 scrimmage yards per game, they have the most in the NFL.

We're only two games into the new season, but it looks like Jalen Hurts has taken a leap in the offseason. He's now moved up to the third favorite in MVP betting. He's already passed for 576 across two games with a touchdown, and he has the seventh-best QB rating in the NFL. It's on the ground where he's come alive with 147 yards and three touchdowns.

Miles Sanders looks to have earned the trust of his organization and has averaged 5.9 yards per rush, totaling 176 yards.

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Hurts' other weapons have also excelled, with A.J. Brown looking like he could be the piece that takes this offense over the top. Brown has 224 receiving yards despite not finding the end zone yet.

As for the Commanders, did anybody expect Wentz to be second in passing yards through two weeks of the season? The former Eagles QB has been impressive so far, passing for 650 yards and seven touchdowns.

It's noticeable that he still has three interceptions, tied for third highest in the league, though.

Only five teams, including today's opponents, have averaged more scrimmage yards per game than the Commanders. They've not excelled on the ground, but their pass catchers have been great with Terry McLaurin (6-133-1), Curtis Samuel (15-133-2) and Jahan Dotson (7-99-3) taking the team to another level.

Betting Picks

For all the talk of this explosive Eagles offense, the football world has been quite quiet about Dallas Goedert. Hurts has put himself into the MVP conversation, and Brown looks like the difference-maker, but it's Goedert doing a lot of the lifting.

The tight end put up 60 receiving yards in Week 1 and 82 in Week 2, all of this on eight receptions. Impressively, 105 of his 142 yards have come after the catch. He's turning into a monster before our eyes, and the bookies haven't got the memo yet.

His receiving line for Sunday currently sits at 47.5 yards at most books on Saturday night. You can be bullish on Goedert covering that.

Pick: Dallas Goedert Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110) | Bet to 49.5

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