NFL Sharp Report: Pros Betting Texans-Broncos, Two Other Week 9 Games

Nov 04, 2018 12:45 PM EST

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Denver Broncos linebacker Von Miller (58).

  • Wiseguys are betting three NFL games on Sunday, headlined by Detroit Lions-Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m. ET). The game is listed at Vikings -5.5 with an over/under of 49
  • Sharps are also getting down on Chicago Bears-Buffalo Bills (1 p.m. ET) and Houston Texans-Denver Broncos (4:05 p.m. ET).

In gambling circles, “sharps” (also known as wiseguys) are professional bettors with long track records of success.

They don’t bet games based on bias or gut instinct.  Instead, they are 100% analytical and value-driven. 

Wiseguys bet numbers, not teams. When they place big wagers on a game, they force bookmakers to move the lines.

By using the betting tools available at The Action Network and Sports Insights, we can track how sharps are affecting betting lines for every NFL Week 9 game.

>> All odds as of 1:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary

Now let’s get to the games!

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

  • Sharp angle: Lions (+5.5)
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET

The public loves home teams, favorites and teams with better records than their opponents. The Vikings check off all three boxes for Average Joes in this one.

Currently 76% of bets are laying the points with Minnesota (4-3-1), expecting a touchdown win or more against visiting Detroit (3-4).

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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