The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) host the Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) for the Week 8 edition of Sunday Night Football on October 26. Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. SNF will broadcast on NBC.
The Packers are 3-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread (Packers -3); the game total is 45.5. The Packers are -155 moneyline favorites and the Steelers are +130 underdogs.
Below, you can find our Packers vs Steelers picks for Sunday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, game total and two player props.
Packers vs Steelers Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
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  | 8:20 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sunday Night Football Odds
- Packers vs Steelers Moneyline: Packers -155, Steelers +130
- Packers vs Steelers Spread: Packers -3 (+100), Steelers +3 (-120)
- Packers vs Steelers Total: 45.5
Packers vs Steelers odds via bet365
Packers vs Steelers Spread Prediction
The Aaron Rodgers narrative will steal the headlines, but the Packers defense not playing up to their level of talent should be the bigger story.
Green Bay has allowed 2.8 points per drive over its last three games, ranking them 29th in the league during that span. Over those three games, the Packers had to face Dak Prescott playing at an elite level, but they also had the benefit of playing against Joe Flacco and Jacoby Brissett making their first starts this season.
Rodgers seems to be gaining confidence and comfortability in Arthur Smith's offense. He is up to 11th in yards per attempt, eighth in completion percentage and ninth in sack percentage.
While questions about his mobility remain, the combination of Rodgers focusing on completing short passes with Pittsburgh’s offensive line protecting better than anticipated has resulted in this offense allowing the third-fewest pressures on a per-pass basis.
It’s actually the Steelers defense that will have the advantage in pressuring the passer. Green Bay ranks 17th in pressure rate allowed while Mike Tomlin’s front seven ranks second in the NFL in pass rush win rate, according to ESPN data.
Moving Jordan Love off his spot inside the pocket will be crucial, as his passer rating tanks from 133.5 when kept clean to 38.1 against pressure.
I expect this to be a very competitive game that comes down the wire. The Packers have covered just once this season since looking dominant versus the Lions in Week 1.
Pick: Steelers +3 (-110)
Packers vs Steelers Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
The Aaron Rodgers bowl features two teams that play at a fairly slow pace, with the Packers and Steelers both ranking top 10 in seconds per play (or bottom 10 in speed, depending on how you view it).
Both also play slightly slower in neutral (score within seven) game scripts, suggesting that they only pick things up when absolutely forced to. That is reasonably unlikely in a game with a three-point spread that should stay fairly close throughout.
While both offenses will take the occasional downfield shot to keep defenses honest, their primary mode of attack is much more methodical.
Jordan Love ranks middle of the pack with his aDOT (14th among qualified QBs) while Aaron Rodgers ranks 34th. Plus, both teams have negative Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE) marks.
All of which means the path to big scoring in this game is more through efficiency, since the overall number of drives is limited by a reliance on the run and short passes.
While the Packers have some weapons that could make that happen, I’m less confident that Pittsburgh can, especially against a top-10 defense.
The 45.5-point total thus feels very optimistic, especially for a night game. I’ll take the under 45.5 at +100 on DraftKings.
Pick: Under 44.5 (+100)
Packers vs Steelers Player Props: Romeo Doubs
There's a smart way to bet the Packers offense Sunday night tailing PRO Projections, and our models suggest fading the passing attack.
Notably, Romeo Doubs is the wide receiver to lay off against the Steelers.
While Doubs has burst onto the scene without Christian Watson and Jayden Reed — especially a 3-TD game on prime time — projections suggest betting the under's the safer route.
Doubs' over/under is at 4.5 catches, but our in-house data predicts Doubs for more like 4.00 even.
There may be some recency bias to take the over: Doubs has five catches in three straight. However, there's also low-floor potential, as he recorded three or fewer in each of his first three.
Bettors can secure a +9.6% edge taking Doubs under 4.5 catches using our numbers.
Pick: Romeo Doubs Under 4.5 Receptions (-114)
Packers vs Steelers Player Props: Tucker Kraft
We can't do National Tight Ends day without a touchdown pick for tonight's primetime showdown between the Packers and Steelers.
Tucker Kraft had his coming out party in Week 2 against the Commanders, when he dropped a 6/124/1 line in a Packers victory. He also scored a touchdown last year on National Tight Ends Day.
Kraft has scored a touchdown in 4-of-6 Packers games this season; he enters Sunday Night Football on a two-game touchdown streak after scoring against the Bengals and Cardinals.
Established as Jordan Love's go-to red-zone target, Kraft leads the Packers in touchdown catches — he led the team last year as well.
The Steelers rank top 10 in touchdowns allowed to tight ends; they ranked top 10 last season as well.
In a game that should feature plenty of quick passing against fierce pass rush both ways, short quick passes to tight ends should be key.
Kraft to score a touchdown is my favorite tight end bet of the day. If you're feeling risky, I also like two touchdowns at +1400.
Pick: Tucker Kraft Anytime Touchdown (+140)
