Updated Patriots Super Bowl Odds: Futures Falling After Tom Brady’s Announcement

Updated Patriots Super Bowl Odds: Futures Falling After Tom Brady’s Announcement article feature image
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Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Bill Belichick

It's over.

The Patriots' reign of terror, commonly known as the Brady-Belichick era, has come to an end.

Tom Brady announced Tuesday morning that would not be returning to the Patriots this season, saying his "football journey will take place elsewhere" after thanking the organization.

He'd spent 20 years with the Pats, winning six Super Bowls in nine appearances.

Last year, he knocked off the Rams, capping off a stretch of three straight Super Bowl appearances, four in five years, and three wins in those four.

So how has his planned departure affected the Pats' chances this season?


Odds as of March 17 at 10 a.m. ET and via PointsBet. Get up to $25 FREE and $250 in free bets at PointsBet today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Updated Patriots Super Bowl, Conference, Division Odds

Prior to the announcement, the Patriots were 14-1 to win the Super Bowl at PointsBet — the fifth-best odds in the league.

As of about an hour following Brady's announcement, they've fallen to 20-1, making them now the ninth-most likely champions.

Their conference title odds have shifted accordingly, dropping from +650 to +1000, but to some, it might not be the adjustment expected to come from losing Brady, especially given New England's developing uncertainty at the quarterback position.

Jarrett Stidham — who backed up Brady last season as a rookie — is the presumable No. 1 starter at this point, but the Patriots could certainly still be in the market for a new free agent acquisition, which might be the reason that oddsmakers are hesitant to make a more drastic move.

The updated division outlook, however, has been more of an eye-catcher.

With the Buffalo Bills welcoming Stefon Diggs last night and New England now waving goodbye to its 17-time winning quarterback, the Patriots have dropped from -200 to +125 to win the AFC East, making them co-favorites with the Buffalo Bills.

As for where Brady goes from here, the Bucs have taken over as the odds-on favorite on that list.

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