Raiders vs Titans NFL Week 3 Picks, Prediction

Raiders vs Titans NFL Week 3 Picks, Prediction article feature image

Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Davante Adams.

  • The Raiders are favored in a matchup of winless teams agains the Titans.
  • Blake Krass sees an edge in this matchup.
  • He lays out his Week 3 pick below.

Raiders vs. Titans Odds

Sunday, Sept. 25
1 p.m. ET
Raiders Odds
-109o / -112u
Titans Odds
-109o / -112u
Odds via BetRivers. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

This is the only matchup in Week 3 between two 0-2 teams. However, their respective journeys getting here have looked much different.

The Raiders lost a close one to a good Chargers team and then inexplicably blew a huge lead to the Cardinals in their home opener. Whereas the Titans lost an embarrassing one to the Giants and then were dismantled by the Bills on Monday Night Football.

Whoever loses this game will undoubtedly be in a major hole, which would be brutal given they had playoff aspirations entering the season. I think the Raiders have looked like the better team so far, but injuries and turnovers have plagued them.

The more composed and well-coached team should be the one that picks up their first win here.

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Raiders vs. Titans Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Raiders and Titans match up statistically:

Raiders vs. Titans DVOA Breakdown
Overall DVOA2429
Pass DVOA2626
Rush DVOA2226
Overall DVOA2915
Pass DVOA1715
Rush DVOA3116

Despite their winless start, the Raiders have had some bright spots. They had more yards per play against the Chargers but ended up on the wrong side of the turnover battle (3-0). They equaled the Cardinals in yards per play but took their foot off the pedal after holding a 23-7 lead entering the fourth quarter.

There is a reason the Raiders are a respectable 20th in overall DVOA and the Titans are dead last. The Titans are 31st in rush offense DVOA and have a 0% power success rate. That means on third or fourth down with two yards or fewer, they have not picked up a single first down or touchdown.

Even with Derrick Henry, the Titans just can't convert in short yardage. Their offensive line has really struggled and now they will be without star LT Taylor Lewan (knee). The Vegas defense is sixth in adjusted line yards and should feast.

Betting Picks

The Titans' offense has been dismal so far. The offensive line gets no push and now they are missing their three-time Pro Bowl left tackle. The Raiders' front seven is stacked and should force Ryan Tannehill to make more throws than he is comfortable making.

If the Raiders can simply avoid turnovers their offense should be fine. If it comes down to the little things — like field position or a made field goal — the Raiders are eighth in special teams DVOA, while the Titans are 30th.

I really think the Raiders are the much better team. They have an edge at quarterback, offensive line and defense. Again, as long as they can avoid the turnover, they should win comfortably.

FanDuel Quickslip: Raiders -1.5 | Bet to -3

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