The Winnipeg Jets (21-24-7) and Tampa Bay Lightning (33-14-4) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Fla. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Lightning are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-115o / -105u). The Lightning are a -200 favorite to win outright, while the Jets are +165 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Jets vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks.
Jets vs. Lightning Odds, Pick
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 5.5 -115o / -105u | +165 |
| Lightning Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 5.5 -115o / -105u | -200 |
Jets vs. Lightning Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+129 ), Jets +1.5 (-156)
Jets vs. Lightning Over/Under: 5.5 (-115o / -105u)
Jets vs. Lightning Moneyline: Jets +165, Lightning -200
Jets vs. Lightning Preview
This system capitalizes on public bias against visiting teams in the NHL. Road underdogs consistently draw minimal betting support, yet these low sentiment teams often present hidden value when priced within a moderate moneyline range that keeps them competitive.
The market tends to overvalue home ice advantage and recent perception, creating inflated prices on the favorite. By targeting road teams receiving limited public backing but still within striking odds, this system takes advantage of inefficient lines where motivation and matchup quality are underestimated.
Over time, fading public consensus in these midrange road dog spots has produced steady returns.
Jets vs. Lightning Prediction
