Gemini Predictions Promo Code

How Gemini’s Prediction Markets Work in 2026

Is There a Gemini Promo Code for Gemini’s Prediction Markets?

Short answer? Not yet. While Gemini’s prediction markets are now live, there is currently no Gemini promo code tied specifically to this product.

Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, run by the Winklevoss twins, built its name on crypto and other digital assets. Now, the exchange expanded into prediction markets, where users trade simple Yes/No contracts based on the outcome of future events, such as election results, economic data releases, or crypto price milestones.

Gemini Predictions launched in all 50 states in December 2025 after Gemini Titan received Designated Contract Market (DCM) approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to offer prediction market contracts in a federally regulated way.

Gemini Promo Code Key Takeaways for February 13, 2026

The Gemini Promo Code will basically be your entry point into Gemini’s next phase in prediction markets. For a long time, everything depended on CFTC approval of Gemini’s application to operate as a designated contract market, which is why there wasn’t a live offer early on. The goal has always been clear: offer prediction market contracts tied to future events, from elections and sports games to economic data and crypto milestones, inside an exchange that already supports high volumes of digital assets.

Now that Gemini Predictions is live, users can trade from a familiar Gemini account, settle in GUSD, and take advantage of promotions designed to bring existing crypto users into Yes/No prediction contracts on real-world outcomes.

🚨 Gemini Promo Code

TBD

💰 Gemini Welcome Bonus

TBD

🚀 Launch Date

Dec. 15, 2025

🇺🇸 Legal States

All 50 U.S. States

📱 Mobile Apps

Web, iOS, Android

✅ Info Last Verified

February 13, 2026

TL;DR Summary

Gemini has now launched its CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange, with promo details still evolving following the platform’s go-live. After receiving approval to operate as a designated contract market, Gemini rolled out prediction contracts across a range of events and introduced limited-time incentives, including fee-free trading for users.

Across the prediction markets industry, traders are already buying and selling contracts tied to elections, sports games, inflation data, and other future events, with significant volume and user engagement over the past year. With the Gemini prediction market now live and able to offer prediction market contracts at scale, the exchange is stepping into a sector that has already gained considerable traction, rather than trying to create demand from scratch.

Gemini Prediction Markets: How Gemini Predictions Works in 2026

Most of what matters is already clear: this isn’t a side project. Gemini Predictions is a full event-contract platform built directly into the existing exchange. According to public filings and reporting from Bloomberg, the product was developed under an affiliate called "Gemini Titan", the same vehicle named in Gemini’s CFTC paperwork to list regulated contracts on real-world outcomes like central-bank moves, economic data, or major political results.

Zoom out, and the timing lines up. Between January and October 2025, global trading in these event-style contracts was already around $28 billion. This corner of the market has gained considerable traction alongside traditional derivatives, and a lot of companies now see it as a way to let traders put money behind a specific future event instead of just a price chart.

For the exchange, the play is obvious: it already has millions of users trading crypto and other digital assets. If it can offer regulated event contracts in the same environment, it adds another set of products, keeps that community active, and leans on its own trading technology and liquidity instead of paying third parties to run the pipes.

How the CFTC Regulates Prediction Markets

In the U.S., this whole space falls under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which treats most of these contracts as a form of derivatives with payouts tied to a clear future outcome. If a platform wants to offer such contracts under federal oversight, it has to be approved or self-certified as a designated contract market.

That comes with a long checklist: surveillance, risk controls, protections for customers, and ongoing reporting to stay in good standing. Individual contracts are also reviewed under Rule 40.11, which is designed to block certain types of products and keep bad actors away from the listed markets the CFTC oversees.

Dodd-Frank shifted the standard from a narrow “economic purpose” test to a broader public-interest view. And, though there's still some noise at the state level about how far these platforms should go, if you're trading on a federally supervised venue instead of wiring money offshore, you're at least in a cleaner, clearly regulated framework.

Behind the Gemini Space Station Brand

The “Space Station” nickname sits on top of a pretty specific story. The company is run by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, who settled with Facebook for $65 million back in 2008 and then pushed that attention toward Gemini crypto and digital assets. Here's what happened in the background:

  • The exchange went live in 2015 and secured New York’s first BitLicense, which is still one of the tougher badges to get in this country if you work with digital assets.
  • It later launched the Gemini Dollar (GUSD), a USD-pegged stablecoin that trades alongside a wide range of other assets on the platform.
  • The company leans heavily on a “security first” message, with eligible USD balances backed by FDIC insurance up to $250,000 and most crypto reportedly held in cold storage.

The most recent reports, from December 2025, placed the company’s IPO valuation above $4 billion. The exchange says it's live in more than 45 countries and lists over 70 cryptocurrencies, which gives it the kind of footprint and support it needs to add their new prediction product without hunting for new users from scratch.

How a Future Promo Code Will Probably Work

Now that Gemini Predictions is live, users can already access prediction markets directly through the Gemini platform. While a dedicated Gemini promo code has not been announced yet, this is how similar regulated platforms typically handle onboarding and promotions:

  1. 1. Download the app or go to the site: Head to Gemini.com or download the Gemini app from the Apple App Store or Google Play. Tap “Sign Up,” then enter your name, email, and phone number to create an account.
    1. Existing Gemini customers can use their current account.
  2. 2. Verify your identity: Because Gemini supports crypto, derivatives, and prediction market contracts, users must complete standard KYC verification. This usually means uploading a government-issued ID and a selfie so the exchange can confirm it's really you.
  3. 3. Fund your account: Users can link a bank account, use a debit card for instant purchases, or transfer crypto and other digital assets into their Gemini account. Deposit minimums and limits may vary, so it’s always worth reviewing the current terms.
  4. 4. Enter the Gemini bonus code, once one exists: When a Gemini prediction market promo finally goes live, we'll post the details.
  5. 5. Trade prediction market contracts on real-world outcomes: Once you're funded and verified, you can trade prediction market contracts priced between $0.01 and $0.99 on real-world outcomes, including elections, sports games, economic releases, crypto indicators, and other major events. 

Market Types on Gemini Predictions

Gemini Predictions now offers a growing set of markets focused on real-world outcomes. While the full menu continues to evolve, current offerings and public disclosures point to several core categories that Gemini is actively supporting or positioned to expand.

Political events

  • Presidential elections and key congressional seats
  • Senate and House control
  • Governor races
  • Supreme Court confirmations

Economic indicators

  • Fed funds rate decisions
  • Monthly CPI releases
  • U.S. GDP growth
  • Price of Gold, Silver, WTI Crude Oil, etc.

Sports

  • NFL, NCAAFNBA, and Soccer game winners and point spreads
  • Championship outcomes like the Super Bowl, World Series, English Premier League, or NBA Finals
  • Player stat totals and other props, especially those tied to big national broadcasts

Fun/Culture

  • Academy Awards, including categories like Best Picture and Best Actor
  • Grammy or Emmy winners
  • Box office milestones for major releases
  • What will be the gender of the first baby born in the US in 2026?

Crypto markets

  • Bitcoin or Ethereum price targets by a specific date

Potential New Market Types

As the platform scales, Gemini may expand into additional areas commonly seen across the prediction markets industry, including:

Weather and climate

  • Temperature ranges in major cities
  • Hurricane landfalls
  • Snowfall totals in key metro areas

Financial and corporate

  • Will a public company beat or miss earnings expectations
  • Stock price thresholds or ranges

Gemini Prediction Market vs. Popular Exchanges

By December 2025, prediction markets had already cleared more than $60 billion in trading volume for the year, so this is no longer a niche corner of the industry. With the Gemini prediction market now live, the exchange enters a space where CFTC-registered Kalshi is out in front, with newly regulated Polymarket right behind it. Sweepstakes-style operators like Novig and ProphetX are also in the mix, and though they don't have the same liquidity as Kalshi or Polymarket, they're still signing up users by the thousands.

Sportsbook and DFS brands are testing the waters too. FanDuel, DraftKings, and Underdog have all piloted prediction-style platforms, and Fanatics has plans in motion as well. By the time Gemini is live, traders will already have a long list of platforms to choose from.

In terms of recent numbers, Kalshi handled $23.8 billion in total annual volume alone and sits on roughly 65% of the regulated U.S. prediction markets share, driven in large part by politics and its long-standing CFTC registration. Polymarket crossed $18 billion in lifetime volume, though it has faced steeper regulatory hurdles than Kalshi. Novig and ProphetX lean on social sportsbook mechanics, while FanDuel, DraftKings, Fanatics, and Underdog are using their existing brands to test prediction-style products alongside traditional markets.

📈 Prediction Market

🏦 Referral Bonus

✍️ Referral Code

Kalshi

Trade $10, Get $10!

ACTION

Novig

Spend $25, Get $50 in Novig Coins! ACTION

ProphetX

Get a 20% Purchase Match up to $100 in Bonus Funds! ACTION

Fanatics Markets

No prediction market promo just yet. 

Sign up with the sportsbook offer instead: Get Up To $1000 Matched in FanCash!

ACTION

Polymarket

TBD - Platform not legal in the US yet

TBD - Platform not legal in the US yet

Crypto.com

TBD TBD

DraftKings Predict

No prediction market promo just yet. 

Sign up with the current sportsbook offer instead: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!

Use our links!

FanDuel Predict

Prediction market not live yet. 

Sign up with the current sportsbook offer instead: Bet $5 Get $100 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!

Use our links!

Gemini Prediction Market Banking Options

Because Gemini Predictions runs directly inside the Gemini exchange, funding and most of the payment methods work the same way as it does for Gemini crypto and other digital assets. Existing customers can use their current account, wallet, and payment setup to move money in and out of prediction market contracts.

Gemini supports both crypto wallets and several fiat options, so users have flexibility when funding or withdrawing, though availability and limits can vary by method and are best checked in-app.

Method

Deposits

Withdrawals

ACH Transfer

✅​

✅​

Wire Transfer (USD)

✅​

✅​

Cryptocurrency

✅​

✅​

Debit Card

Instant Purchase only

❌​

Google/Apple Pay

Instant Purchase only

❌​

PayPal

Instant Purchase only

❌​

Responsible Trading Practices

Prediction markets hit a lot of the same buttons as betting sides, totals, or props, which is exactly why it helps to have a few responsible gambling rules for yourself before you start firing.

  • Get educated: Make sure you understand how contract prices map to probabilities and how much liquidity is actually sitting in the market before you size up. Thin markets can move against you fast.
  • Diversify: With politics, sports games, economic releases, and other events all on the board, spread your exposure instead of loading up on a single outcome or narrative.
  • Set limits: As a rough guide, risking more than about 5% of your overall bankroll on one market is asking to feel every tick. Gemini Predictions offers deposit or loss-limit tools so you can cap activity by day, week, or month.
  • Check your bias: Before you click “buy,” ask why someone else would be happy to sell you that contract at this price. If the only answer is “because I want this to happen,” that trade might be more fandom than edge.

Final Thoughts on the Future Gemini Promo Code Launch

Gemini Predictions is no longer just an idea on paper. With CFTC approval in place, Gemini has officially launched prediction markets inside its existing exchange, letting users trade event contracts in a federally regulated setup they’re already familiar with.

For now, there’s still no standalone Gemini promo code tied to prediction markets. Instead, Gemini is using limited-time perks like fee-free trading to ease users in. As the product continues to roll out and evolve, more traditional welcome offers may follow. When they do, this is where we’ll break down the details and share the full terms.

Johnny Covers

Johnny Covers has been covering the sports betting and iGaming industries for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Sportsbook Review, Golf Monthly, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, OddsJam, OddsChecker, CasinoReviews.com, Ribacka Media, and most recently, Better Collective. Johnny is a Pittsburgh native and currently resides in Charleston, SC.

More from Johnny Covers
Gemini Promo Code FAQs
When did Gemini’s prediction markets launch?

Gemini Predictions launched in December 2025 after Gemini’s affiliate, Gemini Titan, received approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate as a designated contract market. The platform is now live in all 50 U.S. states.

Is there a Gemini promo code?

There is currently no dedicated Gemini promo code for prediction markets, but Gemini has offered limited-time fee-free trading as an introductory incentive. If a formal welcome bonus or promo code is introduced, we’ll list the details here.

What markets are available on Gemini Predictions?

Gemini Predictions offers markets across several categories, including politics, economy, sports, culture, and crypto. Activity tends to be highest around major elections, widely followed sports events, and high-interest crypto milestones.

What are prediction market contracts?

Prediction market contracts are yes/no derivatives tied to a specific future event, like an election result, a key economic release, or the outcome of a major game. Each contract typically trades between $0.01 and $0.99, with the price reflecting the implied probability of the outcome. If the event happens, the contract settles at $1. If it doesn't, it settles at $0. Many of these contracts in the U.S. fall under CFTC oversight.

Why has interest in prediction markets grown so quickly?

Prediction markets have seen a wave of growth because they tap directly into public sentiment around news, sports, and major events. From elections to Gemini sports markets, users can put money behind what they think will happen next, which many find more engaging than traditional trading.

Can users lose money in Gemini Predictions?

Yes. Like any market, prediction markets involve risk, and users can lose money if their prediction is wrong or if they exit a position at a worse price. That’s why it’s important to understand how contracts work, manage position size, and only trade with funds you can afford to risk.

What's the Gemini Space Station?

Gemini Space Station is the brand behind the cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss in 2014. The platform started with crypto and other digital assets and has since expanded to include CFTC-regulated prediction markets, allowing users to trade event contracts on real-world outcomes directly inside the Gemini exchange.