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MLS Betting: Finding Value in Thursday Night’s El Tráfico

Jul 26, 2018 2:23 PM EDT
  • There are two important MLS matches scheduled for Thursday night: Orlando City vs. New York Red Bulls, and LA FC vs. LA Galaxy.
  • Road teams went 3-0 on Wednesday night, and public bettors are loading up on both road sides on Thursday night.
  • Despite the small two-match slate, there is a value play on the board tonight.

Wednesday night’s MLS action was an extremely rare occurrence where all three road teams won, and home teams failed to earn a single point. Value plays were also a success, going 2-1 for +1.7 units.

There are two more matches on the slate for Thursday night and both should be worth tuning in for:

  • New York City FC at Orlando City SC (8 p.m. ET)
  • LA Galaxy at LA FC (10:30 p.m. ET)

After analyzing the betting market for both matches, I’ve picked out one value play.

Season Record: 35-40-2, +17.68 units, 24% ROI


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLS odds and track your bets.


New York City FC at Orlando City SC

Moneyline odds:  NYC FC +134, Orlando City +186, Draw +286
Total: 3 (o-130)
Time: 8 p.m. ET

NYC FC are on a roll and have won three straight games by a combined score of 6-0, all against Eastern Conference opponents: Columbus, Montreal and New York Red Bulls. They’ve also won three consecutive meetings against Orlando City by an aggregate score of 8-0.

Down south, not much has gone right for Orlando City. Last week they nearly earned their second straight win, but conceded two late goals (controversially) in a 3-2 loss at Columbus. It’s been a brutal couple months for the club and they’ve now dropped 10 of 11 games. Despite the funk, head coach James O’Connor said he was “exceptionally proud of the players, and that’s the main point to get across”.

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Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LA Galaxy forward Zlatan Ibrahimovic

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