England and Norway face off today at 5:00 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.
England is favored at a -118 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-140o / +110u) goals.
Let's get into my Norway vs. England prediction.
Norway vs England Prediction
Pick: Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer
My Norway vs England best bet is for Harry Kane to score. This selection is based on a significant mismatch between England's elite attack and Norway's questionable defense, which has shown vulnerability throughout the tournament.
Norway vs England Odds
| England Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 2.5 -140o / +110u | -118 |
| Norway Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -110 | 2.5 -140o / +110u | +300 |
Norway vs England World Cup Preview
This quarterfinal presents a fascinating clash of styles. England demonstrated tactical flexibility and grit in their Round of 16 victory over Mexico, where they won despite having only 33.2% possession. Thomas Tuchel's side has proven effective with a direct, counter-attacking approach that could punish a Norwegian team that sometimes over-commits in possession.
Norway, on the other hand, stunned Brazil with a disciplined performance but must avoid the defensive lapses that have plagued them. The individual duel between star strikers Erling Haaland and Harry Kane will be a major storyline, as both are in the hunt for the Golden Boot. England's attack is heavily reliant on Kane and Jude Bellingham, who have scored 10 of the team's 11 goals, while Haaland is responsible for over 63% of Norway's goals.
Historically, these teams have not met in a competitive match since the 1994 World Cup qualifiers. More relevant is Norway's poor record against fellow European nations at the World Cup; they have failed to win any of their six such matches, with two draws and four losses. Their most recent attempt was a 4-1 group stage defeat to France in this tournament. This historical context, combined with England's deeper squad and recent major tournament experience, solidifies their status as favorites to advance.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your England vs Norway picks.
Norway vs England Picks, Parlay
- Harry Kane To Score (-105 at bet365)
- Both Teams To Score — Yes (-133 at bet365)
The case for Harry Kane finding the back of the net is compelling. Norway's defensive record is the weakest among all teams remaining in the competition. They have allowed 8.07 expected goals against (xGA) and have faced 73 shots across their five matches, an average of over 14 per game. This defensive fragility creates an ideal scenario for a striker of Kane's caliber.
Kane has been in excellent form, scoring six goals from just 3.42 xG, demonstrating his clinical finishing. He is overperforming his underlying metrics significantly, and against a defense that concedes high-quality opportunities, he will probably get chances to add to his tally. Norway has conceded in every one of their five tournament games, and that trend is likely to continue against England's potent attack.
The Both Teams to Score market also offers strong value. While Norway's defense has struggled, their offense has been explosive. They were the highest-scoring nation in European qualifying and have seen both teams score in all five of their matches in this tournament.
Spearheaded by Erling Haaland, who has scored in 14 consecutive competitive appearances for his country, Norway possesses the firepower to trouble any defense. England, despite their resilience, has conceded chances in all of their games so far. Given Norway's attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses, a game where both sides score seems almost inevitable.
Norway vs England Projected Starting Lineups
Norway Expected Lineup (4-2-1-3)
Goalkeeper: Nyland
Defenders: Ryerson, Sjer, Heggem, Ostigard
Midfielders: Berg, Berge; Odegaard
Forwards: Sorloth, Haaland, Nusa
England Expected Lineup (4-2-1-3)
Goalkeeper: Pickford
Defenders: Spence, Guehi, Konsa, O'Reilly
Midfielders: Anderson, Rice; Bellingham
Forwards: Madueke, Kane, Gordon
