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Manchester City (5-0) and Liverpool (2-0-3) will face off today at 11:30 a.m. EDT at Anfield in Liverpool.
Man City is favored at a +147 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-185o / +137u) goals.
Let's get into my Man City vs. Liverpool prediction, and check out our Soccer odds!
Man City vs. Liverpool Prediction
Pick: Liverpool to win (+170)
My Man City vs. Liverpool best bet is on the Reds to triumph over the Citizens. Be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Man City vs. Liverpool Odds
Man City vs. Liverpool Preview
Liverpool and Manchester City face each other for the first time under their respective new managers, as Andoni Iraola and Enzo Maresca settle into their new roles.
This is the first fixture Manchester City will play after receiving a guilty verdict on 114 of their 115 charges for breaking the Premier League’s financial rules. While this might not directly affect players' output and performance on the pitch, we should expect a hostile reception for the squad at Anfield and throughout the season during away fixtures.
Regardless of happenings off the pitch, City arrives as the only team boasting a 100% win record in the Premier League this season. Not only that, but the visitors have remained undefeated in each of their last 10 Premier League games, a run which extends back into the 2025/26 campaign.
Since a goalless draw in the 2018 season, overseen by Jurgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola, this Premier League fixture has subsequently averaged 3.10 goals per 90 minutes. It’s a matchup which typically produces excitement, suggesting we might witness more of the same at Anfield on the weekend.
Both Liverpool and Manchester City rank within the top four Premier League clubs for PPDA (passes per defensive action) after five games this season. Liverpool’s 9.37 and City’s 9.66 PPDA suggest both sides will close down the other when in possession, allowing transitional opportunities to counter, which could fuel a frantic, high-tempo affair on Merseyside this weekend.
Man City vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man City | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | 22.7% | 34.1% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man City | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.27 | 1.52 |
Man City vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
The Reds have an opportunity to cut the gap between themselves and Manchester City in half with three points on Sunday. They are in fine form after winning four of their previous five matches (one draw) in all competitions, but are still looking for their first home victory in the Premier League after drawing against Nottingham Forest and Fulham.
Manchester City, on the other hand, responded magnificently to a 3-0 Community Shield loss to Arsenal with seven consecutive wins in all competitions, but this visit to Anfield will be the squad's sternest test yet.
Although City has the quality to beat Liverpool here, psychological momentum is not on their side following the guilty verdict on the financial charges. That’s one of the biggest reasons we’re backing Liverpool in this one.
Enzo Maresca faced Liverpool twice in his career as Chelsea head coach and has a record of one loss and one draw.
Liverpool’s head coach, Andoni Iraola, knows how to snap Manchester City’s positive streaks. He managed to defeat City in November 2024 while in charge at Bournemouth and ended City’s 32-game Premier League unbeaten run.
Liverpool won two of the previous four head-to-head meetings at Anfield (one loss and one draw), and although this one could go either way, we’re going with the home side.
Pick: Liverpool to win (+170)
