Premier League Week 8 Betting: Expect Goals Between Manchester City and Liverpool

Oct 05, 2018 06:03 PM EDT

Liverpool FC. Pictured: Liverpool celebrating a Champions League win in 2017-18

  • Premier League Week 8 action kicks off Friday, but the marquee matchup is on Sunday afternoon at 11:30 a.m. ET between Manchester City and Liverpool.
  • There have been no big upsets this season, and there are only two teams listed above +500 odds this weekend (Cardiff at Tottenham, Newcastle at Manchester United).
  • After analyzing the betting market for every match, I've picked out two value plays to make.

If you’re a fan of favorites taking care of business, you’re loving the 2018-19 Premier League season so far.

Big underdogs, defined as +500 or higher on the moneyline, have won zero of their 36 matches this year. That means if you wagered $100 on every sizable dog, you’d be down $3,600. 

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Week 8 has only two potential upsets on the board: Newcastle (at Manchester United) and Cardiff (at Tottenham).

Here’s a look at updated season trends, along with a betting preview and picks for Saturday and Sunday.

2018-19 Season Trends

There have been just 14 draws through the first seven weeks of the season, losing bettors nearly 20 units on the moneyline.

By analyzing the betting market and historical data, I’ve picked out two value plays to make for this weekend.

2018-19 Season Record: 7-18-1 (-6.57 units)

Huddersfield at Burnley (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET, NBC Sports Gold)

  • Burnley Odds: +114
  • Huddersfield Odds: +344
  • Draw Odds: +204
  • Over/Under: 2 (o-103)

Another Burnley match, another low over/under of two goals.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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