Paris Saint-Germain and Bayer Leverkusen will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at BayArena in Leverkusen, Germany.
PSG is favored at a -150 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-175o / +137u) goals, but there’s another way to wager on this match and make real money in all 50 states — via Kalshi, which blends traditional financial systems with innovative prediction markets.
Let’s take a look at Kalshi’s odds and see if there’s any value. And remember, you can use the promo code below to claim $10 when signing up as a new user.
Without further ado, let's get into my PSG vs. Leverkusen prediction.
PSG vs. Leverkusen Prediction
Pick: PSG to Win
My PSG vs. Leverkusen best bet is PSG to win outright.
PSG vs. Leverkusen Kalshi Pick, Betting Analysis
The reigning European champions kicked off their title defense in perfect fashion, winning both of their opening matches. Their away victory over Barcelona was yet another statement that Luis Enrique’s side is once again a serious contender.
Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, have had a tougher start. They’ve collected just two points from as many matches and could only manage a 1–1 home draw against PSV in their last European outing. Things are looking brighter in the Bundesliga, though — they’re unbeaten in five and riding a three-game winning streak.
Injuries help level the playing field a bit: Fabián Ruiz and João Neves remain sidelined. But there’s some good news for the French side — Ballon d’Or winner Ousmane Dembélé and Marquinhos have been named in the squad and could return to action.
With home advantage, Bayer Leverkusen will quietly fancy their chances of getting a result. They have players capable of withstanding the pressure — like Alejandro Grimaldo and Equi Fernández — though it’s hard to see them holding off a PSG side that has become synonymous with goals and ball dominance.
Les Parisiens have played 14 European games in 2025, including the Super Cup, winning 11 of them in regulation time. Over that stretch, they’ve averaged 2.86 goals scored and just 0.86 conceded per match. All signs point to that impressive run continuing.
Pick: PSG to Win (61% chance at Kalshi)
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
