If you want more Action Network content, be sure to add us as a preferred source on Google.
The United States hosts Peru for an international friendly on Saturday, September 26, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Orlando, Florida.
Following a solid performance on home soil in the 2026 tournament, the USMNT looks to build momentum against a Peruvian side undergoing a rebuild under new management.
Let’s get into my USMNT vs Peru prediction.
USA vs Peru Prediction
- Picks: USA Over 1.5 Goals (-169) & Both Teams To Score – Yes (-115)
My USA vs Peru best bets form a same-game parlay combining the home side to find the back of the net at least twice with both teams to score.
Be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
USA vs Peru Odds
| USA Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -130o / -110u | -195 | |
| Peru Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+ | 2.5 -130o / -110u | +475 |
USA vs Peru Picks
- USA Over 1.5 Goals (-169)
- Both Teams To Score – Yes (-115)
Parlay Odds: +140 (DraftKings)
The offensive firepower of the United States is the central reason for backing them to score multiple goals. The team has been in excellent scoring form, finding the net more than once in nine of its previous 12 matches.
This trend was evident during the recent international tournament, where they scored at least two goals in four of their five games. Playing at home further boosts this confidence, as the USA has scored over 1.5 goals in eight of its last 11 matches on home soil.
Conversely, Peru's defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in away games. They have conceded more than 1.5 goals in six of their last 10 matches overall, and in four of their last six on the road. Under manager Mauricio Pochettino, the USA plays an aggressive, attacking style that should capitalize on these weaknesses.
Their performance in the summer's tournament, where they scored 11 goals from an expected goals (xG) figure of just 6.14, highlighted their clinical finishing.
While the USA is a strong favorite, there is also value in the Both Teams to Score market. Peru has shown signs of offensive improvement under new coach Mano Menezes, scoring in their last three friendlies, including a goal against a formidable Spanish defense.
The historical context supports this pick, as the last two head-to-head meetings between the USA and Peru saw both teams score. Furthermore, the USA’s defense is not always airtight; both teams have scored in 10 of the last 13 matches involving the USMNT, indicating that Peru has a solid chance to get on the scoreboard.
USA vs Peru Betting Analysis
The tactical dynamic of this match heavily favors the United States. Under Mauricio Pochettino, the team has implemented an effective high-press system that leads to dominating possession.
At the recent World Cup, the USA averaged 57% possession per game, a figure that dwarfs Peru’s average of just 42% in their last 10 away matches. This control of the ball will likely allow the USA to dictate the pace and create the majority of the scoring opportunities.
Defensively, the U.S. has also shown discipline, limiting opponents to an average of only 9.6 shots per game during the tournament. This defensive solidity will be a major challenge for a Peruvian team that has averaged just 8.67 shots per game in away fixtures since the beginning of 2025. The combination of offensive pressure and defensive stability reinforces the USA's status as the clear favorite.
The head-to-head record confirms American superiority in this matchup. The USA is undefeated in three meetings with Peru, securing two wins and a draw. The last encounter in 2018 ended in a 1-1 draw, but the trajectories of both national programs have shifted significantly since then.
The current betting odds reflect this change, establishing the USA as the heavy favorite, a complete reversal from the 2018 fixture where Peru entered with shorter odds.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your USA vs Peru picks.
USA vs Peru Predicted Lineups
USA
Matt Freese; Alex Freeman, Auston Trusty, Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson; Tyler Adams, Sebastian Berhalter; Sergiño Dest, Malik Tillman, Gio Reyna; Damion Downs.
Peru
Pedro Gallese; Marcos López, Renzo Garcés, Miguel Araujo, Oliver Sonne; Erick Noriega, Wilder Cartagena, André Carrillo; Jhonny Vidales, Gianluca Lapadula, Adrián Ugarriza.
